Mets at Cubs

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.9
RA/G4.8
46.4%53.6%
Mets WinCubs Win
3.85Projected Runs 4.24
5Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(39-47)
Rank22
R/G4.1
RA/G4.4
Rank14
R/G4.9
RA/G4.8
Rank22
R/G4.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-23.521.198

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-22.751.246

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 1-8 at Chicago CubsNYM: Tylor Megill • CHC: Jameson Taillon-120
W 11-1 at Chicago CubsNYM: Jose Quintana • CHC: Shota Imanaga+143
L 3-5 at Texas RangersNYM: Sean Manaea • TEX: Andrew Heaney-105
W 7-6 at Texas RangersNYM: Luis Severino • TEX: Michael Lorenzen-120
W 14-2 at Texas RangersNYM: David Peterson • TEX: Jon Gray+126
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-8 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • CHC: Jameson Taillon+114
L 11-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Jose Quintana • CHC: Shota Imanaga-148
W 5-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Erik Miller • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-105
W 2-5 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • CHC: Justin Steele-105
L 7-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Jordan Hicks • CHC: Javier Assad-109

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • CLuis TorrensOut
  • RFStarling MarteRest
  • PShintaro Fujinami60-day IL
  • PSean Reid-Foley15-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJordan Wicks15-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay60-day IL
  • CFMike Tauchman10-day IL
  • PBen Brown15-day IL
N 6 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°75°74°72°
Humidity68%68%69%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindN 6 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 5 mphNW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-105-101-103-102-102-102-101+102.8
Cubs-105-109-117-108-108-108-108-102.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets-102-108+100-110-104+100+100+102.8
Cubs-108-102-110-105-106-110-102-102.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +100 to -104
Cubs ML moved from -113 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Cubs: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +101 to -101
Cubs ML moved from -105 to -113

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-210-1½+162+1½-220+1½-213+1½-220+1½-213+1½-193
Cubs-1½+180+1½-183-1½+180-1½+183-1½+180-1½+183-1½+193
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-210+1½-210+1½-210+1½-200+1½-193
Cubs-1½+184-1½+180-1½+176-1½+175-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+193

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½+102o8½+100o8-120o8½-105o8-120o8½+102o8-109
Underu8-110u8½-118u8½-120u8+100u8½-115u8+100u8½-115u8+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½-105o8-125o8-130o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8-109
Underu8-110u8½-115u8+105u8+110u8½-115u8½-115u8+110u8+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8-123
The Under moved from u8½-118 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-125
No Steam Moves On Under