Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
38.8%61.2%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.08Projected Runs 5.25
5Final Score 9
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Dillon Peters (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-22.661.268

Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
199-64.051.304

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-6 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Max Kranick • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+190
W 6-3 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Bryse Wilson • MIA: Edward Cabrera+120
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsPIT: Wil Crowe • MIA: Elieser Hernandez+143
L 1-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Connor Overton+157
W 4-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • PIT: Mitch Keller+122
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CIN: Wade Miley+176
L 5-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Max Scherzer • CIN: Sonny Gray+200
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Walker Buehler • CIN: Luis Castillo+160
W 1-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Connor Overton-157
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • PIT: Mitch Keller-128

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDavid Bednar10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • CFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
SSE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°74°72°72°
Humidity87%88%88%89%
Precipitation29%12%10%6%
ConditionPossible Light RainMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 6 mphS 5 mphS 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+167+134+147+148+147+147+148+152.0
Reds-182-160-159-158-162-159-158-152.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+147+149+148+146+148+149+152.0
Reds-180-157-164-158-160-158-157-152.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +140 to +134
Reds ML moved from -177 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +155 to +146
Reds ML moved from -170 to -180

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-120+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125+1½-119
Reds-1½+100-1½+110-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-130+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128+1½-119
Reds-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+111
Underu9-105u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+111
Underu9-105u9½-115u9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under