Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
56.8%43.2%
Cubs WinPirates Win
5.34Projected Runs 4.64
10Final Score 1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-23.131.25

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-74.531.425

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 10-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Jordan Wicks • PIT: Colin Selby-124
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Mitch Keller-110
W 5-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Rob Zastryzny-180
W 6-4 at Detroit TigersCHC: Jameson Taillon • DET: Tarik Skubal+115
L 6-8 at Detroit TigersCHC: Drew Smyly • DET: Reese Olson-112
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 10-6 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jordan Wicks • PIT: Colin Selby+120
W 1-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Mitch Keller+105
L 5-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Rob Zastryzny+168
L 6-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Zach Thompson • PIT: Luis Ortiz+118
W 3-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • PIT: Johan Oviedo-122

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 3BNick MadrigalRest
  • PMarcus Stroman15-day IL
  • DHChristopher MorelRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CHenry Davis10-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • 3BJared TrioloRest
  • DHAndrew McCutchenRest
  • -Angel Perdomo60-day IL
N 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)74°77°79°80°
Humidity64%58%53%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindN 4 mphN 4 mphN 4 mphN 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-120-129-133-126-127-126-126-120.4
Pirates+100+120+111+116+117+116+120+120.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115-130-130-125-125-130-125-120.4
Pirates+105+120+119+112+115+110+120+120.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -133 to -140
Pirates ML moved from +119 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -124 to -130
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135-1½+127-1½+125-1½+123-1½+125-1½+123-1½+127-1½+131
Pirates+1½-160+1½-143+1½-145+1½-143+1½-145+1½-143+1½-143+1½-131
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135-1½+125-1½+127-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+127-1½+131
Pirates+1½-155+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-131

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9-118o9-120o9-117o9-115o9-117o9-115o9-106
Underu9-110u9+102u9+100u9-103u9-105u9-103u9+102u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-120o9-115o9-106
Underu9-115u9+105u9+100u9+100u9-105u9+100u9½-120u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-111 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9+100