Mariners at Red Sox

Updated

Seattle Mariners

(85-77)
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
50.0%50.0%
Mariners WinRed Sox Win
4.66Projected Runs 4.66
3Final Score 12

Boston Red Sox

(81-81)
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank12
R/G4.2
RA/G3.8
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Marco Gonzales (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-04.421.391

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-15.011.586

Last 5 Games

Seattle Mariners
Money Line
L 4-9 at Boston Red SoxSEA: Luis Castillo • BOS: Nick Pivetta-149
W 10-1 at Boston Red SoxSEA: George Kirby • BOS: Tanner Houck-114
L 3-5 at Detroit TigersSEA: Logan Gilbert • DET: Joey Wentz-174
W 5-0 at Detroit TigersSEA: Bryce Miller • DET: Alex Faedo-175
W 9-2 at Detroit TigersSEA: Marco Gonzales • DET: Matthew Boyd-115
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-9 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Luis Castillo • BOS: Nick Pivetta+140
L 10-1 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • BOS: Tanner Houck+106
L 9-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • BOS: Corey Kluber+100
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • BOS: Chris Sale-131
L 8-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • BOS: James Paxton-110

Injuries

Seattle Mariners

Status
  • PRobbie RayOut for Season
  • PEaston McGeeUnknown
  • PPenn MurfeeUnknown

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • 2BTrevor StoryOut
  • PKutter CrawfordUnknown
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • LFZack Kelly60-day IL
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • 3BYu Chang10-day IL
NNW 14 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)52°49°48°46°
Humidity29%31%34%36%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 14 mphNNW 12 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+105+116+111+120+116+120+120+124.3
Red Sox-115-125-133-130-126-130-125-124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-100+115+115+115+112+105+115+124.3
Red Sox-110-125-126-130-122-122-122-124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mariners: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +112 to +105
Red Sox ML moved from -115 to -123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mariners: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mariners: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mariners: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mariners: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mariners: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mariners ML moved from +122 to +115
Red Sox ML moved from -120 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners-1½+155+1½-168+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
Red Sox+1½-175-1½+152-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+152-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mariners+1½-190+1½-170+1½-172+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-157
Red Sox-1½+158-1½+150-1½+152-1½+148-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½+102o9½-105o9½-102o9½-105o9½-102o9½+102o9½+107
Underu9½-120u9½-118u9½-115u9½-118u9½-115u9½-118u9½-115u9½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o9½+100o9½+100o9-130o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+107
Underu10-110u9½-120u9½-120u9+110u9½-115u9½-120u9+110u9½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-105
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120
Yankees at Blue Jays
Rays at Mets