Braves at Cubs

Updated
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
59.2%40.8%
Braves WinCubs Win
4.37Projected Runs 3.41
0Final Score 1

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
124-35.671.475

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
66-23.671.245

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 8-2 at Washington NationalsATL: Spencer Strider • WSN: Erick Fedde-215
W 10-4 at Washington NationalsATL: Max Fried • WSN: Jackson Tetreault-265
W 9-5 at Washington NationalsATL: Ian Anderson • WSN: Erasmo Ramirez-140
W 3-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jose Quintana • ATL: Kyle Wright-230
W 4-10 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • ATL: Charlie Morton-223
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 6-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CHC: Matt Swarmer+173
L 19-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • CHC: Caleb Kilian-132
L 12-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Sean Manaea • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+120
L 4-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • CHC: Justin Steele+118
L 4-18 at New York YankeesCHC: Keegan Thompson • NYY: Jameson Taillon+193

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CFGuillermo HerediaRest
  • 2BOzzie Albies60-day IL
  • PMike SorokaOut

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
N 9 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
From LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)79°80°79°79°
Humidity50%50%50%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 9 mphNNW 9 mphN 9 mphN 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-155-190-177-175-177-177-175-165.5
Cubs+145+156+163+165+162+163+165+165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-174-185-174-190-183-176-174-165.5
Cubs+162+170+158+170+166+163+170+165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -175 to -181
Cubs ML moved from +158 to +150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Cubs: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from -180 to -190
Cubs ML moved from +162 to +154

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+100-1½-120-1½-118-1½-120-1½-118-1½-118-1½-118-1½-109
Cubs+1½-120+1½+100+1½-102+1½+100+1½-102+1½-102+1½+100+1½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½-110-1½-120-1½-112-1½-125-1½-125-1½-115-1½-112-1½-109
Cubs+1½-110+1½+100+1½-106+1½+105+1½+105+1½-105+1½+105+1½+109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½-115o8½-106o8½-105o8½-106o8½-106o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8+100u8½-105u8½-114u8½-115u8½-114u8½-114u8½-105u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8½+100o8½+100o8½-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½+100o8½+104
Underu8-110u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8½-105u8½-115u8½-105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-107 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-120