Padres at Reds

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
50.0%50.0%
Padres WinReds Win
4.73Projected Runs 4.72
6Final Score 4
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Matt Waldron (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-55.01.422

Frankie Montas (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-34.371.371

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 7-3 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Michael King • CIN: Nick Martinez-122
L 0-2 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Andrew Abbott-115
L 0-3 at Atlanta BravesSDP: Randy Vásquez • ATL: Chris Sale+216
W 6-5 at Atlanta BravesSDP: Dylan Cease • ATL: Reynaldo López+108
W 9-1 at Atlanta BravesSDP: Yu Darvish • ATL: Bryce Elder+110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 7-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael King • CIN: Nick Martinez+115
W 0-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Andrew Abbott+107
L 2-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Hunter Greene • LAD: Landon Knack+153
L 0-4 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Graham Ashcraft • LAD: Walker Buehler+175
L 3-7 at Los Angeles DodgersCIN: Frankie Montas • LAD: James Paxton+176

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 2BXander Bogaerts10-day IL
  • PLuis PatinoOut for Season

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PEmilio Pagán15-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson60-day IL
  • PAlex Young60-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • 3BChristian Encarnacion-Strand10-day IL
  • PIan Gibaut60-day IL
  • LFJake FraleyRest
SSE 6 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°77°78°77°
Humidity66%64%64%66%
Precipitation5%1%3%4%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindSSE 6 mphS 6 mphSSW 5 mphSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+105-108-116-111-108-111-108-105.7
Reds-115-102-104+101-102+101+101+105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-105-107-107-111-108-107-107-105.7
Reds-105-103-103-104-102-103-102+105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +100 to -104
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+145-1½+147-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+140-1½+147-1½+148
Reds+1½-165+1½-163+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+145-1½+145-1½+143-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+148
Reds+1½-165+1½-165+1½-162+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½+102o9½-105o9½+101o9½+100o9½+101o9½+102o9½+110
Underu9-105u9½-118u9½-115u9½-121u9½-120u9½-121u9½-115u9½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+110
Underu9½-105u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-115