Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
40.1%59.9%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.49Projected Runs 4.52
8Final Score 6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-34.411.327

Colin Rea (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-03.291.278

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Bailey Falter+107
W 9-10 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Paul Skenes+105
L 7-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • PIT: Jared Jones-124
L 5-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: José Soriano • PIT: Martín Pérez-128
L 9-0 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • PIT: Quinn Priester-127
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • MIL: Bryse Wilson-146
W 3-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • MIL: Freddy Peralta-166
W 2-11 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Lance Lynn • MIL: Robert Gasser-117
W 1-7 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • MIL: Tobias Myers+125
L 4-6 at Kansas City RoyalsMIL: Joe Ross • KCR: Brady Singer+110

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PMarco Gonzales15-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJ.B. Bukauskas15-day IL
  • CFJoey Wiemer10-day IL
  • PWade MileyOut for Season
  • PDL Hall15-day IL
NE 7 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)58°57°55°54°
Humidity75%78%78%78%
Precipitation34%32%34%30%
ConditionThunderstormsDrizzleDrizzleCloudy
WindNE 7 mphNNE 7 mphNE 6 mphNE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+110+125+120+132+127+132+132+136.9
Brewers-120-135-143-144-137-144-135-136.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+124+128+127+123+126+125+128+136.9
Brewers-134-138-139-138-137-135-135-136.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +118 to +109
Brewers ML moved from -131 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +132 to +125
Brewers ML moved from -134 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-185+1½-163+1½-175+1½-169+1½-170+1½-169+1½-163+1½-156
Brewers-1½+160-1½+147-1½+150-1½+149-1½+150-1½+149-1½+150-1½+156
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-180+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-165+1½-156
Brewers-1½+160-1½+145-1½+146-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+156

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8½+101o8½-105o8½-106o8½+100o8½-106o8½+101o8½+104
Underu8+100u8½-117u8½-115u8½-114u8½-120u8½-114u8½-114u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-125o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8½+104
Underu8+100u8+105u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
No Steam Moves On Under