Padres at Diamondbacks

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
59.7%40.3%
Padres WinDiamondbacks Win
5.51Projected Runs 4.49
4Final Score 5
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
174-64.191.256

Brandon Pfaadt (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
100-67.161.469

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 0-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Rich Hill • ARI: Zac Gallen+126
W 10-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Blake Snell • ARI: Ryne Nelson-155
L 1-6 at Seattle MarinersSDP: Yu Darvish • SEA: Emerson Hancock-152
L 0-2 at Seattle MarinersSDP: Nick Martinez • SEA: Logan Gilbert+108
L 13-7 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • SDP: Seth Lugo-132
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 0-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Rich Hill • ARI: Zac Gallen-132
L 10-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • ARI: Ryne Nelson+147
L 2-0 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Bobby Miller • ARI: Merrill Kelly+133
L 5-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urías • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+141
L 3-5 at Minnesota TwinsARI: Zac Gallen • MIN: Dallas Keuchel-145

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PAdrian Morejon15-day IL
  • PTim Hill15-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove15-day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PZach Davies15-day IL
  • DHLourdes Gurriel Jr.Rest
  • CGabriel MorenoUnknown
  • 3BEvan Longoria10-day IL
  • PTommy Henry15-day IL
  • PAustin Adams60-day IL
W 5 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)104°105°106°107°
Humidity23%21%18%17%
Precipitation40%53%38%49%
ConditionClearMostly ClearClearClear
WindW 5 mphW 6 mphW 6 mphWNW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-140-139-145-140-140-140-139-133.6
Diamondbacks+129+129+122+129+130+129+130+133.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-140-142-140-140-137-142-137-133.6
Diamondbacks+118+132+128+118+126+122+132+133.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -133 to -139
Diamondbacks ML moved from +130 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -140 to -146
Diamondbacks ML moved from +126 to +117

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+115-1½+112-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+119
Diamondbacks+1½-135+1½-128+1½-135+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-128+1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+115-1½+115-1½+112-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+115-1½+119
Diamondbacks+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130+1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9+102o9+105o9+100o9-105o9+100o9+105o9+109
Underu9½-115u9-118u9-125u9-120u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-110o9-105o9-110o9-110o9-105o9-105o9+109
Underu9½-115u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-110u9-115u9-110u9-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-102 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9-110