Cubs at Twins

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
41.5%58.5%
Cubs WinTwins Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.79
3Final Score 1

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Zach Davies (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
276-105.01.485

John Gant (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
164-84.01.516

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 1-13 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CHW: Dylan Cease+227
W 7-0 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Alec Mills • CHW: Lance Lynn+281
L 13-17 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Keegan Thompson • CHW: Dallas Keuchel+196
L 13-10 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • CHC: Justin Steele+134
W 2-5 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Austin Gomber • CHC: Zach Davies+125
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersMIN: Bailey Ober • DET: Casey Mize-124
L 6-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • MIN: Griffin Jax+142
W 4-6 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • MIN: Charlie Barnes+137
W 0-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • MIN: Andrew Albers+121
L 2-12 at Boston Red SoxMIN: John Gant • BOS: Chris Sale+240

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
  • SSSergio AlcantaraUnknown
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • PLuke Farrell60-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • PKenta MaedaOut for Season
  • PLewis Thorpe10-day IL
  • RFAlex KirilloffOut for Season
  • CFRob RefsnyderRest
ENE 6 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)75°73°71°69°
Humidity51%58%66%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 6 mphENE 6 mphE 6 mphE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+124+135+140+142+142+140+142-
Twins-134-155-152-152-152-152-152-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+130+135+135+142+138+139+142-
Twins-140-145-148-152-150-149-145-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +144 to +129
Twins ML moved from -143 to -149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +140 to +133
Twins ML moved from -145 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-140+1½-138+1½-140+1½-138+1½-138+1½-138-
Twins-1½+125-1½+120-1½+118-1½+120-1½+118-1½+118-1½+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-145+1½-142+1½-140+1½-135+1½-150+1½-135-
Twins-1½+125-1½+125-1½+124-1½+120-1½+115-1½+130-1½+130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+105o9-120o9-120o9½+100o9-120o9-120o9-120-
Underu10-125u9+100u9+100u9½-120u9+100u9+100u9½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100-
Underu9½-100u9½-115u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½-117 to u9-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-104 to u9½-114
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