Royals at Astros

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
35.4%64.6%
Royals WinAstros Win
3.59Projected Runs 5.12
5Final Score 6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Mike Minor (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
258-115.341.271

Lance McCullers (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2110-43.211.243

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 0-4 at Houston AstrosKCR: Brady Singer • HOU: Luis Garcia+227
W 7-1 at Houston AstrosKCR: Daniel Lynch • HOU: Zack Greinke+230
W 9-1 at Chicago CubsKCR: Carlos Hernandez • CHC: Alec Mills+104
W 4-2 at Chicago CubsKCR: Kris Bubic • CHC: Keegan Thompson+117
W 6-2 at Chicago CubsKCR: Brad Keller • CHC: Zach Davies-102
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • HOU: Luis Garcia-248
L 7-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • HOU: Zack Greinke-242
L 6-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Tyler Anderson • HOU: Framber Valdez-190
W 1-15 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-138
W 3-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Yusei Kikuchi • HOU: Lance McCullers-175

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PGreg Holland10-day IL
  • PJake Brentz10-day IL
  • 1BCarlos SantanaUnknown

Houston Astros

Status
  • LFChas McCormick10-day IL
  • PAndre Scrubb60-day IL
  • PTyler Ivey60-day IL
  • PPedro Baez10-day IL
  • 3BAlex Bregman10-day IL
  • LFMichael BrantleyRest
  • PRafael Montero10-day IL
ENE 4 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)93°95°95°94°
Humidity58%55%56%57%
Precipitation2%3%4%5%
ConditionHumidHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindENE 4 mphE 5 mphE 6 mphE 6 mph
Nestor Ceja
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+192-+225+225+212+225+225-
Astros-210--270-252-252-252-252-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+200+235+218+215+233+230+235-
Astros-220-275-242-245-270-260-242-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +212 to +206
Astros ML moved from -260 to -270

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +224 to +218
Astros ML moved from -260 to -270

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-110-+1½+120+1½+113+1½+113+1½+113+1½+120-
Astros-1½-110--1½-140-1½-133-1½-133-1½-133-1½-133-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-105+1½+120+1½+104+1½+110+1½+120+1½+110+1½+120-
Astros-1½-115-1½-140-1½-122-1½-130-1½-140-1½-130-1½-122-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-130-o8-120o8½-104o8½-104o8½-104o8-120-
Underu9+110-u8+100u8½-116u8½-116u8½-116u8½-116-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-115-
Underu9-115u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-116 to o8-124
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105