Padres at Marlins

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
51.7%48.3%
Padres WinMarlins Win
3.98Projected Runs 3.80
10Final Score 1

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-25.641.451

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
114-33.671.386

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 1-2 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Blake Snell • MIA: Braxton Garrett-109
W 9-4 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Ryan Weathers • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+129
L 7-10 at New York YankeesSDP: Yu Darvish • NYY: Gerrit Cole+129
L 2-3 at New York YankeesSDP: Michael Wacha • NYY: Luis Severino+140
W 5-1 at New York YankeesSDP: Joe Musgrove • NYY: Randy Vasquez-107
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 1-2 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • MIA: Braxton Garrett+102
L 9-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Ryan Weathers • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-132
W 2-0 at Los Angeles AngelsMIA: Eury Pérez • LAA: Patrick Sandoval+120
W 8-5 at Los Angeles AngelsMIA: Edward Cabrera • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+187
W 6-2 at Los Angeles AngelsMIA: Jesús Luzardo • LAA: Reid Detmers+129

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PSeth LugoUnknown
  • 3BManny Machado10-day IL
  • PLuis GarciaUnknown

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • 1BGarrett CooperRest
  • RFAvisail Garcia10-day IL
SSW 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)87°86°84°82°
Humidity67%68%69%74%
Precipitation48%30%30%31%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSSW 7 mphSW 8 mphS 5 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-110-115-120-116--115-115-109.7
Marlins+100+106+100+106-+105+106+109.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-120-109-114-114-112-118-109-109.7
Marlins+110-101+104+104+102+102+104+109.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Marlins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -115 to -123
Marlins ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -117 to -124
Marlins ML moved from +102 to -101

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+145-1½+147-1½+145-1½+144--1½+144-1½+147-1½+152
Marlins+1½-165+1½-163+1½-170+1½-164-+1½-164+1½-163+1½-152
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+140-1½+150-1½+146-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+150-1½+152
Marlins+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-152

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o7½-103o7½-105o7½-110-o7½-110o7½-103o7½+100
Underu8½-120u7½-113u7½-115u7½-110-u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½-110o7½+105o7½+100
Underu8-105u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-110u7½-110u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-106 to o8-115
The Under moved from u7½-103 to u7½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120