Guardians at Padres

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
38.1%61.9%
Guardians WinPadres Win
3.43Projected Runs 4.69
3Final Score 1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
142-55.631.344

Mike Clevinger (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-43.631.211

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Johnny Cueto • CLE: Shane Bieber-165
W 2-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lance Lynn • CLE: Triston McKenzie-127
W 4-8 vs Detroit TigersDET: Daniel Norris • CLE: Cal Quantrill-210
L 4-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Garrett Hill • CLE: Zach Plesac-200
L 7-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Bryan Garcia • CLE: Xzavion Curry-194
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • SDP: Sean Manaea-266
W 1-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • SDP: Joe Musgrove-300
L 6-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • SDP: Blake Snell-316
L 3-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Anibal Sanchez • SDP: Yu Darvish-350
W 10-3 at Miami MarlinsSDP: Mike Clevinger • MIA: Pablo Lopez-154

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BOwen MillerRest

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PYu DarvishOut
  • RFWil MyersRest
SW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°72°70°70°
Humidity73%77%79%79%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyClearClear
WindSW 6 mphSW 5 mphSW 5 mphSSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+148+126+122+125+125+125+126+131.2
Padres-161-136-145-135-135-135-135-131.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+132+127+128+126+126+128+128+131.2
Padres-142-137-140-150-137-138-137-131.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +131 to +125
Padres ML moved from -135 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +130 to +121
Padres ML moved from -135 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-160+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Padres-1½+135-1½+147-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-170+1½-165+1½-153
Padres-1½+140-1½+145-1½+146-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8+102o8+105o8+103o8+103o8+103o8+105o8+109
Underu8-120u8-118u8-125u8-123u8-123u8-123u8-118u8-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8+100o8+100o8-100o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+109
Underu8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-120u8-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under