Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
35.7%64.3%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.02Projected Runs 4.53
2Final Score 5
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-19.822.182

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-02.250.917

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-6 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Eric Lauer+160
W 3-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • PIT: Jose Quintana+113
W 4-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • PIT: Bryse Wilson-108
L 7-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller-110
W 4-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joan Adon • PIT: JT Brubaker-125
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • MIL: Eric Lauer-170
W 5-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • MIL: Aaron Ashby-129
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Steven Matz • MIL: Adrian Houser-115
L 10-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • MIL: Freddy Peralta-148
W 1-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-133

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • PZach ThompsonQuestionable

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • CPedro SeverinoUnknown
  • 2BLuis Urias10-day IL
N 5 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)47°45°43°40°
Humidity49%54%60%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindN 5 mphNE 5 mphESE 5 mphSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+240+205+228+225+215+228+228+233.5
Brewers-260-250-255-245-255-255-245-233.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+210+210+216+210+227+210+227+233.5
Brewers-240-250-240-240-260-240-240-233.5

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +224 to +216
Brewers ML moved from -249 to -255

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +230 to +224
Brewers ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+105+1½+110+1½+118+1½+110+1½+118+1½+118+1½+118+1½+119
Brewers-1½-125-1½-130-1½-138-1½-130-1½-138-1½-138-1½-130-1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½+105+1½+110+1½+107+1½+110+1½+115+1½+105+1½+115+1½+119
Brewers-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-130-1½-135-1½-125-1½-125-1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7+100u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-125u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+114
Underu7½-105u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-120 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6-110 to o7½-110
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u6-110