Astros at Red Sox

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
57.0%43.0%
Astros WinRed Sox Win
4.75Projected Runs 4.02
7Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
259-93.41.107

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
176-63.651.089

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 6-2 at Boston Red SoxHOU: J.P. France • BOS: Brayan Bello+112
W 13-5 at Boston Red SoxHOU: Cristian Javier • BOS: Chris Sale+122
W 17-4 at Detroit TigersHOU: Justin Verlander • DET: Alex Faedo-155
W 9-2 at Detroit TigersHOU: Hunter Brown • DET: Eduardo Rodriguez-135
L 1-4 at Detroit TigersHOU: Framber Valdez • DET: Matt Manning-170
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 6-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • BOS: Brayan Bello-112
L 13-5 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • BOS: Chris Sale-124
L 7-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Caleb Ferguson • BOS: Tanner Houck+105
W 5-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urías • BOS: James Paxton+112
L 7-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Lance Lynn • BOS: Kutter Crawford+117

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • 1BJose AbreuRest
  • SSGrae Kessinger10-day IL
  • CFJake MeyersRest
  • -Phil Maton15-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • -Joely Rodriguez15-day IL
  • 2BPablo Reyes10-day IL
  • 2BTrevor StoryRest
  • CFWilyer AbreuOut
  • LFMasataka YoshidaRest
  • PCorey Kluber60-day IL
  • CFJarren DuranOut for Season
W 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)79°80°78°76°
Humidity72%69%67%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearClearClear
WindW 8 mphW 8 mphW 8 mphW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-120-127-135-129-129-129-127-123.4
Red Sox+110+118+113+119+119+119+119+123.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-130-127-126-130-128-126-126-123.4
Red Sox+120+117+115+115+118+107+118+123.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -135 to -144
Red Sox ML moved from +121 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -130 to -136
Red Sox ML moved from +121 to +115

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+110-1½+122-1½+120-1½+118-1½+115-1½+118-1½+122-1½+126
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-138+1½-140+1½-138+1½-135+1½-138+1½-135+1½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+110-1½+120-1½+126-1½+118-1½+120-1½+125-1½+126-1½+126
Red Sox+1½-130+1½-140+1½-144+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-120o10-103o10-110o10-107o10-110o10-107o10-103o10+103
Underu10+100u10-113u10-110u10-113u10-110u10-113u10-110u10-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10½-110o10-120o10-105o10-105o10-110o10+105o10+105o10+103
Underu10½-110u10+100u10-115u10-115u10-110u10-125u10+100u10-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-105 to u10-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-120
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115