Nationals at Astros

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
34.9%65.1%
Nationals WinAstros Win
3.17Projected Runs 4.75
4Final Score 5
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank9
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-53.01.403

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
136-52.361.06

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 1-6 at Houston AstrosWSN: Patrick Corbin • HOU: Hunter Brown+225
W 6-2 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Trevor Williams • ATL: Bryce Elder+245
L 4-6 at Atlanta BravesWSN: MacKenzie Gore • ATL: Jared Shuster+163
L 2-3 at Atlanta BravesWSN: Josiah Gray • ATL: AJ Smith-Shawver+185
L 6-2 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zach Davies • WSN: Patrick Corbin+107
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • HOU: Hunter Brown-239
L 0-5 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Brandon Bielak • CLE: Shane Bieber+110
W 6-4 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: J.P. France • CLE: Triston McKenzie+123
L 9-10 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Cristian Javier • CLE: Logan Allen-104
L 2-3 at Toronto Blue JaysHOU: Framber Valdez • TOR: José Berríos-110

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFCorey DickersonRest
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest

Houston Astros

Status
  • PLuis Garcia60-day IL
  • DHYordan Alvarez10-day IL
  • CFChas McCormickRest
  • PLance McCullers JrOut for Season
  • SSJeremy PenaRest
SSW 10 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)91°89°86°85°
Humidity59%64%70%75%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSW 10 mphS 9 mphS 10 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+224+202+195+206+210+206+210+212.7
Astros-250-227-240-228-230-228-227-212.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+210+200+211+205+220+185+220+212.7
Astros-260-240-235-250-250-220-220-212.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +212 to +206
Astros ML moved from -245 to -260

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Nationals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 60.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +210 to +200
Astros ML moved from -240 to -250

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+100+1½-103+1½-105+1½-107+1½+100+1½-107+1½+100+1½+103
Astros-1½-120-1½-113-1½-115-1½-113-1½-120-1½-113-1½-113-1½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+100+1½-105+1½-106+1½-105+1½-105+1½-110+1½-105+1½+103
Astros-1½-120-1½-115-1½-112-1½-115-1½-115-1½-110-1½-110-1½-103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-103o7½-105o7½-103o7½+100o7½-103o7½+100o7½+106
Underu8-120u7½-113u7½-115u7½-117u7½-120u7½-117u7½-113u7½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100o7½+106
Underu7½-105u7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u7½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-123 to o7½-108
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120