Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
40.4%59.6%
Reds WinBrewers Win
2.96Projected Runs 3.97
4Final Score 7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2510-43.781.201

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
218-42.130.913

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcantara • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-128
W 4-7 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Zach Thompson • CIN: Wade Miley-185
W 3-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Elieser Hernandez • CIN: Sonny Gray-179
W 1-6 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Nick Neidert • CIN: Luis Castillo-290
L 7-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-300
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Sean Nolin • MIL: Adrian Houser-218
W 6-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Paolo Espino • MIL: Eric Lauer-220
L 4-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • MIL: Brett Anderson-179
L 4-8 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • STL: Jon Lester-190
W 6-4 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Freddy Peralta • STL: Jack Flaherty-118

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PBrad Brach10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 3BEduardo Escobar10-day IL
  • PJohn AxfordOut for Season
  • PFreddy Peralta10-day IL
  • 2BKeston Hiura10-day IL
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • PJohn Curtiss10-day IL
  • PAngel Perdomo10-day IL
  • PJandel Gustave10-day IL
SSW 8 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°77°77°77°
Humidity91%91%88%85%
Precipitation27%24%14%6%
ConditionPossible Light Rain and HumidHumid and OvercastHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSSW 8 mphSW 7 mphSSW 7 mphSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+143-+175+184+181+184+184-
Brewers-155--205-201-201-201-201-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+159+180+176+180+185+179+185-
Brewers-175-200-194-200-205-198-194-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -196 to -205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -192 to -198

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140-+1½-125+1½-121+1½-121+1½-121+1½-121-
Brewers-1½+120--1½+105-1½+101-1½+101-1½+101-1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-125+1½-123+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-123-
Brewers-1½+122-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110-o7½-115o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115-
Underu7½-110-u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-120o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110-
Underu7½-110u7½+100u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-102 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115