Reds at Padres

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
36.9%63.1%
Reds WinPadres Win
3.42Projected Runs 4.80
3Final Score 8
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Luke Weaver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-17.711.371

Blake Snell (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-45.481.87

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 4-5 at Oakland AthleticsCIN: Nick Lodolo • OAK: Ken Waldichuk-142
W 3-2 at Oakland AthleticsCIN: Hunter Greene • OAK: Kyle Muller-141
W 11-7 at Oakland AthleticsCIN: Luis Cessa • OAK: Drew Rucinski-108
W 3-5 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-105
W 6-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Martín Pérez • CIN: Luke Weaver+124
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 4-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • SDP: Yu Darvish-138
W 11-16 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Sean Manaea • SDP: Joe Musgrove-180
L 2-5 at Chicago CubsSDP: Seth Lugo • CHC: Hayden Wesneski-165
W 5-3 at Chicago CubsSDP: Michael Wacha • CHC: Drew Smyly+104
L 0-6 at Chicago CubsSDP: Blake Snell • CHC: Justin Steele+105

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor OvertonUnknown
  • RFWil Myers10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • LFDavid Dahl10-day IL
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
WSW 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°59°58°57°
Humidity64%67%69%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 7 mphW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+200+184+170+185+188+185+188+190.6
Padres-220-204-210-202-205-202-202-190.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+175+182+201+180+193+180+201+190.6
Padres-210-205-223-220-215-200-200-190.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +187 to +178
Padres ML moved from -196 to -204

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +192 to +180
Padres ML moved from -205 to -223

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-110+1½-113+1½-115+1½-117+1½-115+1½-115+1½-113+1½-104
Padres-1½-110-1½-103-1½-105-1½-103-1½-105-1½-105-1½-103-1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-110+1½-115+1½-114+1½-115+1½-105+1½-115+1½-105+1½-104
Padres-1½-110-1½-105-1½-104-1½-105-1½-115-1½-105-1½-104-1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-118o8½-120o8½-101o8½-120o8½-101o8½-101o8½+108
Underu8½-110u8½+102u8½+100u8½-119u8½+100u8½-119u8½+102u8½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½+108
Underu8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-110
The Under moved from u8½-106 to u8½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-120