Nationals at Red Sox

Updated

Washington Nationals

(62-78)
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G4.7
45.2%54.8%
Nationals WinRed Sox Win
4.09Projected Runs 4.59
2Final Score 3

Boston Red Sox

(71-70)
Rank16
R/G4.7
RA/G4.8
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G4.7
Rank16
R/G4.7
RA/G4.8

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-33.441.471

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-13.041.05

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 2-4 at Boston Red SoxWSN: Jake Irvin • BOS: Cooper Criswell+145
W 5-1 at Boston Red SoxWSN: Patrick Corbin • BOS: Tanner Houck+190
L 7-6 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Kyle Bradish • WSN: Mitchell Parker+152
W 0-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Corbin Burnes • WSN: Trevor Williams+193
W 8-11 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-114
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jake Irvin • BOS: Cooper Criswell-152
L 5-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Patrick Corbin • BOS: Tanner Houck-206
L 0-5 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Nick Pivetta • ATL: Chris Sale+194
L 2-4 at Atlanta BravesBOS: Kutter Crawford • ATL: Reynaldo López+170
W 9-2 at Minnesota TwinsBOS: Cooper Criswell • MIN: Joe Ryan+166

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • 3BTrey LipscombRest
  • RFJacob YoungRest
  • RFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • LFJoey Gallo10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • CFWilyer AbreuRest
  • CReese McGuireRest
  • 2BDavid HamiltonRest
  • LFMasataka Yoshida10-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas60-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • 2BEnmanuel ValdezRest
  • 1BDominic SmithRest
ESE 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)58°59°59°59°
Humidity48%46%46%46%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 5 mphESE 5 mphESE 5 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+132+120+112+120+119+120+120+124.3
Red Sox-158-130-134-130-129-130-129-124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+135+120+119+120+122+120+122+124.3
Red Sox-147-130-130-135-132-130-130-124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +134 to +124
Red Sox ML moved from -155 to -163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +134 to +125
Red Sox ML moved from -146 to -152

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-160+1½-171+1½-180+1½-176+1½-170+1½-176+1½-170+1½-163
Red Sox-1½+135-1½+155-1½+155-1½+156-1½+150-1½+156-1½+156-1½+163
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-135+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-163
Red Sox-1½+115-1½+160-1½+160-1½+150-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-112o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-115o7½-112o7½-104
Underu8½-110u7½-104u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-105u7½-104u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o7½-120o7½-110o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o7½-110o7½-104
Underu8½-105u7½+100u7½-110u7½+100u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u8-105 to u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110
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