Brewers at Reds

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
53.2%46.8%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.48Projected Runs 4.14
7Final Score 3
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Jason Alexander (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-02.161.74

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-02.221.024

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Hunter Greene-110
L 4-5 at New York MetsMIL: Aaron Ashby • NYM: Tylor Megill+120
W 10-2 at New York MetsMIL: Corbin Burnes • NYM: David Peterson-123
L 0-4 at New York MetsMIL: Adrian Houser • NYM: Chris Bassitt+143
W 4-1 at Washington NationalsMIL: Jason Alexander • WSN: Paolo Espino-123
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Hunter Greene+105
L 4-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Luis Castillo • ARI: Zac Gallen+127
W 5-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Tyler Mahle • ARI: Zach Davies+108
W 5-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksCIN: Mike Minor • ARI: Merrill Kelly+147
W 7-6 at St. Louis CardinalsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • STL: Dakota Hudson+140

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • PAngel PerdomoUnknown
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • PFreddy Peralta60-day IL
  • 2BKolten Wong10-day IL
  • PJosh HaderOut

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • PVladimir GutierrezUnknown
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
N 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°79°79°78°
Humidity36%35%37%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindN 10 mphN 10 mphNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-115-110+100-103+100+100+100+104.4
Reds+105-110-110-107-110-110-107-104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+108-105+103-102-105+100+103+104.4
Reds-118-105-113-108-105-110-105-104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +100 to -105
Reds ML moved from +105 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -101 to -108
Reds ML moved from -104 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-170
Reds-1½+160-1½+170-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-200+1½-185+1½-200+1½-200+1½-185+1½-185+1½-170
Reds-1½+165-1½+175-1½+163-1½+175-1½+175-1½+165-1½+175-1½+170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-115o9½-113o9½-110o9½-113o9½-113o9½-110o9½-104
Underu9-110u9½-105u9½-107u9½-110u9½-107u9½-107u9½-105u9½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9½-115o9½-115o9-130o9½-110o9½-110o9-130o9½-104
Underu9-110u9½-105u9½-105u9+110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-105u9½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
No Steam Moves On Under