Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
40.5%59.5%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.43Projected Runs 4.43
4Final Score 5

Miami Marlins

(62-100)
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank27
R/G3.9
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Josiah Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-52.961.336

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
83-23.381.412

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 3-10 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • WSN: Patrick Corbin+151
L 8-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • WSN: Jake Irvin+189
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Joey Lucchesi • WSN: Trevor Williams+135
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • WSN: MacKenzie Gore+110
W 11-6 at San Francisco GiantsWSN: Josiah Gray • SFG: Sean Manaea+147
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luke Weaver • MIA: Braxton Garrett-149
L 6-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Derek Law • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-230
L 7-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIA: Eury Pérez-138
W 5-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIA: Edward Cabrera • ARI: Merrill Kelly+133
W 6-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIA: Jesús Luzardo • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt+100

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PChad KuhlUnknown
  • CFVictor Robles10-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PTrevor RogersUnknown
  • 1BGarrett CooperUnknown
  • CFJesus SanchezUnknown
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr10-day IL
  • RFAvisail Garcia10-day IL
  • PTommy Nance60-day IL
SE 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
InNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°82°80°79°
Humidity64%69%73%76%
Precipitation30%0%30%31%
ConditionThunderstormsPartly CloudyThunderstormsThunderstorms
WindSE 10 mphSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+148+139+146+144+146+148+150.7
Marlins-141-158-165-158-154-158-154-150.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+122+150+142+140+142+140+150+150.7
Marlins-145-160-156-165-155-165-155-150.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Marlins ML moved from -154 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +153 to +142
Marlins ML moved from -160 to -168

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-185+1½-153+1½-160+1½-156+1½-155+1½-156+1½-153+1½-144
Marlins-1½+160-1½+137-1½+135-1½+136-1½+135-1½+136-1½+137-1½+144
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-155+1½-158+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-144
Marlins-1½+152-1½+135-1½+139-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+140-1½+144

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o8+102o8+100o7½-120o8+100o7½-120o8+102o7½-109
Underu8-125u8-118u8-120u7½+100u8-120u7½+100u7½+100u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8+100o8+100o8-105o7½-120o8+100o8+100o7½-109
Underu7½-105u8-120u8-120u8-115u7½+100u8-120u8-115u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-117 to o7½-128
The Under moved from u7½+107 to u7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
No Steam Moves On Under