MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kansas City Royals (15-15)
Tampa Bay Rays (14-15)
Noah Cameron
Drew Rasmussen
41.2%
58.8%
+146
-156
+150
-156
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+130
3.13
4.05
7.18
o7½-115
u8-110
o7½-115
u8-110
Boston Red Sox (17-14)
Toronto Blue Jays (13-16)
Lucas Giolito
Yariel Rodríguez
49.2%
50.8%
-102
-103
-102
+102
-1½+147
+1½-158
-1½+148
+1½-165
4.30
4.38
8.68
o9-120
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (15-14)
New York Mets (21-9)
Corbin Burnes
Huascar Brazoban
47.1%
52.9%
-106
-103
-107
-102
-1½+152
+1½-168
-1½+146
+1½-165
3.89
4.20
8.09
o8½-103
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (15-15)
Chicago White Sox (7-22)
Tobias Myers
Shane Smith
64.7%
35.3%
-150
+141
-152
+141
-1½+115
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.18
3.65
8.83
o7½-110
u7½-103
o7½-110
u7½-105
Oakland Athletics (15-15)
Texas Rangers (16-14)
Luis Severino
Nathan Eovaldi
41.6%
58.4%
+138
-147
+137
-150
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-158
-1½+140
3.12
4.01
7.13
o8½-113
u8½-103
o8½-110
u8½-105
Games for Apr 29, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Minnesota Twins (13-17)
Cleveland Guardians (16-13)
51.2%
48.8%
-107
-102
+102
+100

-1½+167
+1½-175
7.02
o7-113
u7-103
o7-115
u7+100
4th
TOP
0
0
New York Yankees (18-12)
Baltimore Orioles (11-18)
54.0%
46.0%
+110
-118
+111
-115
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
8.43
o9½-108
u9½-105
o9½-105
u9½-110
1st
BOT
2
0
Chicago Cubs (18-12)
Pittsburgh Pirates (11-19)
66.0%
34.0%
-168
+163
-160
+160
-1½-108
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-106
8.94
o9-103
u9-105
o8½-120
u9-110
1st
BOT
0
0
St. Louis Cardinals (12-17)
Cincinnati Reds (16-13)
42.1%
57.9%
+100
-107
+105
-104

+1½-185
-1½+180
9.06
o9½+100
u9½-113
o9-125
u9½-110
1st
BOT
3
0
Washington Nationals (13-17)
Philadelphia Phillies (16-13)
30.3%
69.7%
+225
-241
+220
-240
+1½-103
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
8.84
o8+100
u8-114
o8+100
u8-115
1st
BOT
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
46.1%
53.9%
+121
-130
+120
-125
+1½-184
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+166
4
0
-0.81054-0.79851-0.77382
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
51.1%
48.9%
-105
-105
-102
-103
-1½+165
+1½-182
-1½+170
+1½-180
4
5
-0.69315-0.69073-0.71458
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
42.5%
57.5%
+117
-123
+121
-128
+1½-165
-1½+153
+1½-159
-1½+145
10
8
-0.78704-0.80679-0.85583
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
54.4%
45.6%
-140
+132
-140
+137
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-133
8
0
-0.55326-0.54426-0.60798
Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles
54.0%
46.0%
-118
+110
-116
+112
-1½+140
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-155
4
5
-0.75927-0.76012-0.77668
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
49.8%
50.2%
+111
-120
+113
-117
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
3
-0.62534-0.62633-0.68884
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
46.4%
53.6%
+112
-120
+115
-120
+1½-184
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+166
1
2
-0.62315-0.61667-0.62317
Minnesota Twins
Toronto Blue Jays
40.6%
59.4%
+165
-175
+165
-174
+1½-130
-1½+111
+1½-128
-1½+115
3
12
-0.46561-0.46639-0.52163
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
52.4%
47.6%
-102
-105
+101
-105

-1½+155
+1½-170
1
6
-0.68605-0.67871-0.74316
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
32.2%
67.8%
+301
-320
+300
-340
+1½+150
-1½-165
+1½+165
-1½-175
0
3
-0.28316-0.28030-0.38876
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.2%
52.8%
+146
-148
+144
-152
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
1
6
-0.51950-0.51849-0.63866
Boston Red Sox
Oakland Athletics
58.6%
41.4%
-169
+160
-164
+157
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
7
2
-0.47760-0.48636-0.53406
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
60.9%
39.1%
-172
+164
-170
+165
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
3
1
-0.46940-0.46959-0.49528
Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals
60.0%
40.0%
-115
+110
-115
+111
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+146
+1½-145
10
3
-0.63673-0.63448-0.51011
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
42.7%
57.3%
+155
-165
+155
-160
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
7
0
-0.95078-0.94358-0.85085
Seattle Mariners
Texas Rangers
48.5%
51.5%
-104
-105
-105
-101
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-160
4
3
-0.69549-0.68363-0.72352
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks8959-30 (0.663)0-0.63629 
Sportsbooks8957-32 (0.640)0-0.63696 
DRatings8958-31 (0.652)0-0.64749
-0.01120
-0.01053

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.