Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
44.5%55.5%
Twins WinGuardians Win
3.68Projected Runs 4.26
3Final Score 4
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Bailey Ober (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-24.011.277

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2610-113.050.974

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Daniel Lynch • MIN: Dylan Bundy-165
W 0-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • MIN: Sonny Gray-194
W 3-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • MIN: Joe Ryan-177
L 4-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Josh Winder+136
L 6-4 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Chris Archer+106
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 8-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lance Lynn • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+138
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • CLE: Cal Quantrill-108
W 1-3 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Suarez • CLE: Cody Morris-118
W 4-5 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Reid Detmers • CLE: Konnor Pilkington-109
W 4-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Josh Winder-140

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PCole SandsUnknown
  • PTyler MahleUnknown
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • 1BLuis ArraezUnknown
  • CFKyle GarlickUnknown
  • LFAlex Kirilloff60-day IL
  • RFMax KeplerUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 1BOwen MillerRest
  • PZach PlesacUnknown
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • CAustin HedgesRest
NNE 3 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°74°74°74°
Humidity68%72%70%67%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindNNE 3 mphENE 2 mphE 3 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+120+148+134+145+145+145+148+144.0
Guardians-129-158-160-157-157-157-157-144.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+115+145+138+130+142+148+148+144.0
Guardians-130-155-151-155-155-158-151-144.0

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Twins: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 50.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Guardians ML moved from -142 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Twins ML
Guardians ML moved from -152 to -158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-180+1½-163+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-153
Guardians-1½+160-1½+147-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-180+1½-160+1½-163+1½-170+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Guardians-1½+160-1½+140-1½+144-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-108o7½-103o7½-110o7½-107o7½-107o7½-107o7½-103o7½+104
Underu7½-108u7½-113u7½-110u7½-113u7½-113u7½-113u7½-110u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-115o7½-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½-110u7½-105u7½-115u7½-110u7½-110u7½-120u7½-105u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-118
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120