Blue Jays at Twins

Updated

Toronto Blue Jays

(74-88)
Rank24
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
55.8%44.2%
Blue Jays WinTwins Win
4.38Projected Runs 3.77
3Final Score 1

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank24
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Kevin Gausman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-33.141.079

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-04.181.25

Last 5 Games

Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
L 3-6 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Alek Manoah • TBR: Zach Eflin+158
L 3-7 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Yusei Kikuchi • TBR: Shane McClanahan+161
W 20-1 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: José Berríos • TBR: Taj Bradley+100
L 4-6 at Tampa Bay RaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • TBR: Trevor Kelley-111
L 8-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Dean Kremer • TOR: Kevin Gausman-190
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 1-7 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Anthony DeSclafani • MIN: Joe Ryan-138
L 4-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • MIN: Sonny Gray-144
L 4-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: John Brebbia • MIN: Bailey Ober-154
L 2-4 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Pablo Lopez • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+140
W 6-2 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Louie Varland • LAA: Patrick Sandoval+125

Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • CDanny Jansen10-day IL
  • SSSantiago Espinal10-day IL
  • PZach PopUnknown

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • LFNick Gordon10-day IL
  • PJorge AlcalaUnknown
  • LFJoey GalloRest
  • LFTrevor Larnach10-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaUnknown
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
SSE 7 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°74°70°66°
Humidity23%28%34%38%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 7 mphSE 6 mphSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-140-141-150-145-144-145-141-138.5
Twins+130+131+126+134+134+134+134+138.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-145-145-142-155-142-142-142-138.5
Twins+122+135+130+130+131+122+135+138.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -145 to -151
Twins ML moved from +137 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Blue Jays: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Blue Jays: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Blue Jays: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Blue Jays ML moved from -139 to -145
Twins ML moved from +132 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+115-1½+117-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Twins+1½-135+1½-133+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-133+1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Blue Jays-1½+130-1½+115-1½+117-1½+110-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+124
Twins+1½-155+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-140+1½-135+1½-130+1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-113o7½-115o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-113o7½-104
Underu7½+100u7½-103u7½-105u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-110o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-105o7½-105o7½-104
Underu8-100u7½-110u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½-115u7½+100u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-103 to o7½-113
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115
Phillies at Braves
Giants at Brewers