Guardians at Twins

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
44.5%55.5%
Guardians WinTwins Win
3.56Projected Runs 4.14
4Final Score 2
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Gavin Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
121-53.521.281

Pablo López (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
269-63.691.134

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 6-10 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Xzavion Curry • MIN: Kenta Maeda+160
W 10-7 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Noah Syndergaard • TOR: Yusei Kikuchi+198
L 3-8 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Logan Allen • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu+160
W 5-2 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Tanner Bibee • TOR: Chris Bassitt+145
L 9-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Caleb Ferguson • CLE: Gavin Williams+110
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 6-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Xzavion Curry • MIN: Kenta Maeda-171
W 6-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jordan Montgomery • MIN: Bailey Ober+112
L 6-2 vs Texas RangersTEX: Max Scherzer • MIN: Joe Ryan+115
W 2-12 vs Texas RangersTEX: Dane Dunning • MIN: Sonny Gray-120
W 5-7 vs Texas RangersTEX: Andrew Heaney • MIN: Pablo López-110

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PMichael Kelly15-day IL
  • CDavid Fry10-day IL
  • 1BJosh Naylor10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • DHByron Buxton10-day IL
  • LFWilli Castro10-day IL
  • 1BAlex Kirilloff10-day IL
  • POliver Ortega15-day IL
NNE 7 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°79°76°73°
Humidity48%50%54%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNNE 7 mphNE 6 mphNE 5 mphENE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+151+151+139+148+150+148+151+153.3
Twins-165-161-165-162-160-162-160-153.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+155+147+143+143+142+140+147+153.3
Twins-180-157-157-170-155-165-155-153.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +153 to +144
Twins ML moved from -172 to -181

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +155 to +144
Twins ML moved from -165 to -171

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-145+1½-143+1½-160+1½-152+1½-150+1½-152+1½-143+1½-140
Twins-1½+125-1½+127-1½+135-1½+132-1½+130-1½+132-1½+135-1½+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-145+1½-150+1½-153+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-140
Twins-1½+125-1½+130-1½+134-1½+130-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+105o7½-108o7½-105o7½-103o7½+100o7½-103o7½+100o7½+106
Underu8½-125u7½-108u7½-115u7½-117u7½-120u7½-117u7½-108u7½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-105o7½+102o7½-105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+105o7½+106
Underu8-110u7½-115u7½-122u7½-115u7½-125u7½-125u7½-115u7½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+104 to o7½-103
The Under moved from u7½-108 to u7½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115