Cubs at Reds

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
54.2%45.8%
Cubs WinReds Win
4.70Projected Runs 4.25
6Final Score 7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Connor Overton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 9-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CHC: Jameson Taillon-120
L 3-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Justin Steele+106
W 0-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CHC: Marcus Stroman+120
W 15-2 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Adrian Sampson • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-122
L 2-3 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Luis Cessa-110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Vince Velasquez • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-124
W 2-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Rich Hill • CIN: Nick Lodolo-145
L 5-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Hunter Greene-128
L 15-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+115
W 2-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • CIN: Luis Cessa+106

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKyle HendricksUnknown
  • PBrandon HughesUnknown
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PTony SantillanUnknown
  • PJustin Dunn60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PTejay Antone60-day IL
  • PLuke WeaverUnknown
S 9 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
From RightSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°70°66°62°
Humidity51%52%57%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearClearClearClear
WindS 9 mphS 9 mphS 9 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-125-113-117-113-113-113-113-107.7
Reds+115+105-103+103+103+103+105+107.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-120-117-117-114-115-121-114-107.7
Reds+110+107+107+104+105+111+111+107.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from -119 to -126
Reds ML moved from +102 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Reds: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+130-1½+137-1½+135-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+143
Reds+1½-150+1½-153+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-153+1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135-1½+135-1½+136-1½+135-1½+140-1½+130-1½+140-1½+143
Reds+1½-154+1½-155+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o9-118o9-115o9-117o9-115o9-117o9-115o9-106
Underu8½-120u9+102u9-105u9-103u9-105u9-103u9+102u9+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o9-115o9-115o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-115o9-106
Underu8+100u9-105u9-105u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-116 to o8½-127
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
No Steam Moves On Under