Guardians at Reds

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
50.4%49.6%
Guardians WinReds Win
4.69Projected Runs 4.65
3Final Score 0
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-53.551.369

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
226-74.951.408

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 9-2 at Tampa Bay RaysCLE: Tanner Bibee • TBR: Zach Eflin+160
L 5-6 at Tampa Bay RaysCLE: Gavin Williams • TBR: Shawn Armstrong+145
L 8-9 at Tampa Bay RaysCLE: Xzavion Curry • TBR: Aaron Civale+185
W 3-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • CLE: Noah Syndergaard+126
L 1-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • CLE: Logan Allen+159
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 6-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luke Weaver • PIT: Andre Jackson+106
L 2-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Brandon Williamson • PIT: Mitch Keller+108
W 9-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Andrew Abbott • PIT: Johan Oviedo+103
L 5-4 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Johnny Cueto • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-116
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • CIN: Luke Weaver+135

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • SSTyler Freeman10-day IL
  • PShane Bieber60-day IL
  • 3BJose RamirezProbable
  • CDavid Fry10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFWill BensonRest
  • LFJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • CFT.J. FriedlRest
  • 1BJoey VottoRest
  • PBen Lively15-day IL
  • CCurt Casali10-day IL
WNW 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°71°70°69°
Humidity75%76%79%81%
Precipitation13%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindWNW 10 mphWNW 8 mphWNW 7 mphWNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+105+108+103+110+104+110+110+114.5
Reds-115-117-123-120-114-120-114-114.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-110+104+111+110+107+104+111+114.5
Reds+100-114-121-120-117-120-114-114.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +100 to -101
Reds ML moved from -117 to -123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +103 to -105
Reds ML moved from -110 to -120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+145+1½-183+1½-195+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-167
Reds+1½-165-1½+162-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+167
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+143+1½-185-1½+163+1½-195-1½+160+1½-190+1½-167
Reds+1½-170-1½+165+1½-185-1½+162+1½-180-1½+160-1½+167

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9½-108o9½-110o9½-115o9½-105o9½-115o9½-105o9½-104
Underu9½-115u9½-108u9½-110u9½-105u9½-115u9½-105u9½-105u9½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-105o9½-110o9½-110o9½+100o9½-110o9½+100o9½-104
Underu9½-110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-110u9½-120u9½-110u9½-110u9½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9½-108 to u9½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-100 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under