Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
53.5%46.5%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.72Projected Runs 4.36
10Final Score 2
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Julian Aguiar (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-04.51.25

Jake Woodford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-56.671.444

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Buck Farmer • PIT: Bailey Falter+105
L 0-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Paul Skenes+139
W 11-7 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Nick Martinez • TOR: Yariel Rodríguez-115
L 3-10 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Carson Spiers • TOR: Jose Berrios+109
W 6-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCIN: Julian Aguiar • TOR: Kevin Gausman+142
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Buck Farmer • PIT: Bailey Falter-105
W 0-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • PIT: Paul Skenes-139
L 0-1 at Texas RangersPIT: Domingo German • TEX: Andrew Heaney+137
W 4-0 at Texas RangersPIT: Mitch Keller • TEX: Cody Bradford+127
L 3-4 at Texas RangersPIT: Luis Ortiz • TEX: Dane Dunning+140

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • 3BJeimer Candelario10-day IL
  • PHunter Greene15-day IL
  • -Christian Roa60-day IL
  • LFJake Fraley10-day IL
  • CAustin Wynns60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • SSNick Gonzales10-day IL
  • PColin Holderman15-day IL
  • DHAndrew McCutchen10-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales60-day IL
WNW 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
To CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°81°76°73°
Humidity39%47%55%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindWNW 3 mphN 2 mphENE 3 mphE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-110-107-110-109-105-109-105-103.8
Pirates+100-103-110-101-105-101-101+103.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-106-106-104-112-107-107-104-103.8
Pirates-104-104-106-103-103-103-103+103.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Pirates ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -106 to -114
Pirates ML moved from +105 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+150-1½+147-1½+145-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+157
Pirates+1½-170+1½-163+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-163+1½-157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+154-1½+150-1½+154-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+154-1½+157
Pirates+1½-174+1½-170+1½-174+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9½+102o9½+100o9-125o9-130o9-125o9½+102o9-114
Underu8½-105u9½-118u9½-120u9+105u9+110u9+105u9+110u9+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o9-125o9-130o9-110o9-115o9-125o9-110o9-114
Underu8½-110u9+105u9+110u9-110u9-105u9+105u9+110u9+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-125 to o9-130
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115