Cubs at Brewers

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
38.3%61.7%
Cubs WinBrewers Win
3.23Projected Runs 4.46
0Final Score 7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Drew Smyly (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-73.471.217

Brandon Woodruff (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
199-33.511.149

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Freddy Peralta+145
L 8-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Dakota Hudson • CHC: Marcus Stroman-110
W 1-7 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CHC: Luke Farrell+165
L 13-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jake Woodford • CHC: Adrian Sampson+125
W 0-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • CHC: Javier Assad+178
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • MIL: Freddy Peralta-151
L 6-12 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Adrian Houser • LAD: Andrew Heaney+225
L 1-10 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Corbin Burnes • LAD: Tony Gonsolin+140
W 4-0 at Los Angeles DodgersMIL: Eric Lauer • LAD: Julio Urias+230
W 5-2 at Chicago CubsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CHC: Justin Steele-140

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PKeegan ThompsonUnknown
  • CP.J. HigginsRest
  • PJustin SteeleQuestionable
  • 3BPatrick Wisdom10-day IL
  • PKyle HendricksOut for Season
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • -Steven BraultUnknown

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PAaron AshbyUnknown
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • COmar NarvaezRest
  • PTrevor RogersUnknown
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
SE 9 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°72°71°70°
Humidity69%76%81%81%
Precipitation0%0%0%3%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSE 9 mphSE 8 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+166+169+165+178+174+178+178+173.6
Brewers-181-183-200-194-194-194-183-173.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+172+175+172+170+172+170+175+173.6
Brewers-190-190-190-205-190-185-185-173.6

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 40.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +171 to +164
Brewers ML moved from -180 to -193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +181 to +172
Brewers ML moved from -190 to -196

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-145+1½-128+1½-130+1½-132+1½-131+1½-131+1½-128+1½-119
Brewers-1½+125-1½+112-1½+110-1½+112-1½+111-1½+111-1½+112-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-140+1½-130+1½-131+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-119
Brewers-1½+120-1½+110-1½+113-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+113-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125o8+102o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o8+102o7½-109
Underu7+105u8-118u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½-120o7½-122o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-109
Underu7+100u7½+100u7½+102u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+102u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-115
No Steam Moves On Under