Reds at Cubs

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
47.5%52.5%
Reds WinCubs Win
4.27Projected Runs 4.53
5Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-43.711.137

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
87-23.11.148

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 10-3 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Tyler Mahle • SFG: Anthony DeSclafani+145
L 2-9 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Mike Minor • SFG: Logan Webb+240
W 4-2 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • SFG: Alex Cobb+199
L 10-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • CIN: Hunter Greene+205
L 8-4 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Anderson • CIN: Luis Castillo+149
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Alec Mills • STL: Jack Flaherty+160
L 3-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Adrian Sampson • STL: Miles Mikolas+195
W 3-0 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • STL: Andre Pallante+159
L 7-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Jose Quintana-104
W 14-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Keegan Thompson • PIT: Jerad Eickhoff-130

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFTommy PhamUnknown
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • PVladimir GutierrezUnknown
  • 2BJonathan IndiaUnknown
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • 3BMike MoustakasRest
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
  • PJeff Hoffman10-day IL
  • -Alexis DiazUnknown

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • -Manuel Rodriguez60-day IL
  • 1BFrank SchwindelRest
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • RFSeiya Suzuki10-day IL
  • CFJason HeywardRest
  • Drew SmylyUnknown
  • PDaniel NorrisUnknown
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
SW 11 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)80°78°76°74°
Humidity42%45%51%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindSW 11 mphSW 10 mphSW 10 mphSW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+100+105+112+107+112+112+112+113.9
Cubs-110-125-122-117-122-122-117-113.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+102+102+106+107+109+107+109+113.9
Cubs-112-112-116-117-119-117-112-113.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 10.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +100 to -102
Cubs ML moved from -107 to -116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +107 to +100
Cubs ML moved from -110 to -118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-200+1½-195+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175
Cubs-1½+170-1½+165-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+175
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-205+1½-185+1½-192+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-175
Cubs-1½+181-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-125o9-115o9-120o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-109
Underu8½-115u9+105u9-105u9+100u9-105u9-105u9+105u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-109
Underu8½-115u9+100u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+100u9+105u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110