Brewers at Padres

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
45.0%55.0%
Brewers WinPadres Win
3.53Projected Runs 4.05
3Final Score 10
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.751.0

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-01.381.0

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 11-2 at San Diego PadresMIL: Eric Lauer • SDP: Michael Wacha+158
W 4-3 at San Diego PadresMIL: Colin Rea • SDP: Nick Martinez+152
L 3-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIL: Janson Junk • ARI: Drey Jameson+126
W 7-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIL: Corbin Burnes • ARI: Merrill Kelly-114
L 0-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksMIL: Wade Miley • ARI: Zac Gallen+135
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 11-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • SDP: Michael Wacha-164
L 4-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Colin Rea • SDP: Nick Martinez-154
L 2-5 at New York MetsSDP: Blake Snell • NYM: Tylor Megill+108
W 4-2 at New York MetsSDP: Ryan Weathers • NYM: David Peterson+127
L 0-5 at New York MetsSDP: Yu Darvish • NYM: Max Scherzer+121

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • CFTyrone Taylor10-day IL
  • PAdrian HouserUnknown
  • 3BLuis Urias10-day IL
  • CWilliam ContrerasRest
  • PAaron Ashby60-day IL
  • PJustin Wilson60-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • LFDavid Dahl10-day IL
  • PDrew PomeranzUnknown
  • PJose CastilloUnknown
  • PAdrian Morejon60-day IL
  • PJoe MusgroveUnknown
  • CFAdam Engel10-day IL
  • PRobert SuarezUnknown
W 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)65°66°66°65°
Humidity60%59%60%62%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindW 9 mphW 9 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+115+131+126+129+131+129+131+133.2
Padres-125-141-150-139-141-139-139-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+110+121+132+126+133+130+133+133.2
Padres-120-131-145-150-145-140-131-133.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +130 to +122
Padres ML moved from -129 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Padres: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +130 to +121
Padres ML moved from -136 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-185+1½-168+1½-170+1½-168+1½-170+1½-168+1½-168+1½-155
Padres-1½+160-1½+152-1½+145-1½+148-1½+150-1½+148-1½+152-1½+155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-165+1½-160+1½-170+1½-160+1½-155
Padres-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+140-1½+140-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o7½+102o7½+105o7½-108o7½-115o7½-108o7½+105o7½+102
Underu8½-120u7½-118u7½-125u7½-112u7½-105u7½-112u7½-105u7½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½-115o7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+102
Underu8½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-105u7½-110u7½-120u7½-105u7½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-120