Padres at Diamondbacks

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
52.9%47.1%
Padres WinDiamondbacks Win
4.27Projected Runs 3.96
5Final Score 3
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank6
R/G5.5
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-22.531.266

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 0-9 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Seth Lugo • ARI: Zac Gallen-105
W 7-5 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Michael Wacha • ARI: Ryne Nelson-136
W 0-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • SDP: Nick Martinez+110
L 8-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • SDP: Blake Snell+127
L 2-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • SDP: Ryan Weathers+135
Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
W 0-9 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Seth Lugo • ARI: Zac Gallen+100
L 7-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Michael Wacha • ARI: Ryne Nelson+132
L 5-14 at St. Louis CardinalsARI: Madison Bumgarner • STL: Jake Woodford+185
W 8-7 at St. Louis CardinalsARI: Drey Jameson • STL: Jordan Montgomery+161
W 6-3 at St. Louis CardinalsARI: Merrill Kelly • STL: Jack Flaherty+131

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PNabil CrismattUnknown
  • PRobert Suarez60-day IL
  • 3BManny MachadoRest
  • PJose CastilloUnknown
  • LFDavid Dahl10-day IL
  • CLuis Campusano10-day IL
  • PDrew PomeranzUnknown
  • CFAdam Engel10-day IL
  • PAdrian Morejon60-day IL

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • PCorbin Martin60-day IL
  • PCole Sulser60-day IL
  • PMark MelanconUnknown
  • CFJake McCarthyRest
  • PZach DaviesUnknown
  • RFKyle Lewis10-day IL
W 11 mph
Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)93°91°88°85°
Humidity14%14%15%16%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindW 11 mphWNW 12 mphWNW 9 mphWNW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-115-136-145-135-140-135-135-129.3
Diamondbacks+105+126+122+125+130+125+130+129.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-140-140-137-150-137-136-136-129.3
Diamondbacks+130+130+125+126+126+126+130+129.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -145 to -152
Diamondbacks ML moved from +134 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Diamondbacks: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Diamondbacks: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -148 to -155
Diamondbacks ML moved from +135 to +128

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+140-1½+117-1½+110-1½+118-1½+110-1½+118-1½+118-1½+126
Diamondbacks+1½-160+1½-133+1½-130+1½-138+1½-130+1½-138+1½-130+1½-126
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+110-1½+105-1½+117-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+117-1½+126
Diamondbacks+1½-130+1½-125+1½-135+1½-135+1½-130+1½-135+1½-125+1½-126

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-118o9-110o9-115o9½+100o9-115o9-110o9-104
Underu9-115u9+102u9-110u9-105u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½-105o9½+100o9½+100o9-104
Underu8½-115u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-115u9½-120u9½-115u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-105 to u9½-120