Cubs at Padres

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(83-79)
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
44.2%55.8%
Cubs WinPadres Win
4.25Projected Runs 4.87
5Final Score 1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.1
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Ben Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-011.121.941

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-16.281.674

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 8-9 at San Diego PadresCHC: Javier Assad • SDP: Yu Darvish+126
W 1-8 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Gavin Stone • CHC: Shota Imanaga+102
L 4-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Yoshinobu Yamamoto • CHC: Jordan Wicks+138
W 7-9 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Bobby Miller • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+168
W 8-9 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Cal Quantrill • CHC: Luke Little-204
San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 8-9 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Javier Assad • SDP: Yu Darvish-135
L 2-3 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Matt Waldron • SFG: Logan Webb+153
W 4-0 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Michael King • SFG: Keaton Winn+108
L 2-3 at San Francisco GiantsSDP: Dylan Cease • SFG: Jordan Hicks+111
W 2-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Zach Thompson • SDP: Joe Musgrove-154

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PCaleb Kilian60-day IL
  • 3BPatrick Wisdom10-day IL
  • PJustin Steele15-day IL
  • PJameson Taillon15-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
NNW 5 mph
Petco Park, San Diego, CA
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)68°65°63°62°
Humidity44%47%49%52%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 5 mphN 4 mphN 4 mphNNE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+134+126+116+124+123+124+126+128.7
Padres-160-136-139-135-133-135-133-128.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+151+123+124+119+130+130+130+128.7
Padres-165-133-135-134-141-140-133-128.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +121 to +115
Padres ML moved from -161 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +130 to +123
Padres ML moved from -134 to -150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-160+1½-173+1½-175+1½-172+1½-175+1½-172+1½-172+1½-159
Padres-1½+135-1½+157-1½+150-1½+152-1½+155-1½+152-1½+157-1½+159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-150+1½-170+1½-167+1½-170+1½-165+1½-175+1½-165+1½-159
Padres-1½+130-1½+150-1½+148-1½+150-1½+145-1½+155-1½+155-1½+159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-108o8-115o8-107o8-105o8-107o8-105o8+103
Underu8-110u8-108u8-105u8-113u8-115u8-113u8-105u8-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-105o8-110o8-105o8+100o8-105o8+100o8+103
Underu8-110u8-115u8-110u8-115u8-120u8-115u8-110u8-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120