Brewers at Pirates

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(93-69)
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
58.0%42.0%
Brewers WinPirates Win
4.21Projected Runs 3.37
7Final Score 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

(76-86)
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-01.90.761

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-24.81.467

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 3-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Bryse Wilson • PIT: Josh Fleming-118
L 1-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Tobias Myers • PIT: Bailey Falter-110
L 2-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Joe Ross • PIT: Jared Jones+135
W 2-0 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: Colin Rea • STL: Sonny Gray+146
W 12-5 at St. Louis CardinalsMIL: DL Hall • STL: Miles Mikolas+128
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Bryse Wilson • PIT: Josh Fleming+110
W 1-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Tobias Myers • PIT: Bailey Falter+103
W 2-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Joe Ross • PIT: Jared Jones-138
L 6-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Josh Winckowski • PIT: Martín Pérez-145
L 4-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • PIT: Mitch Keller-114

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PDL Hall15-day IL
  • PJakob Junis15-day IL
  • -Taylor Clarke15-day IL
  • LFChristian Yelich10-day IL
  • PDevin Williams60-day IL
  • PJ.B. Bukauskas15-day IL
  • PWade Miley15-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CYasmani Grandal10-day IL
  • PMarco Gonzales15-day IL
  • CJason Delay10-day IL
  • PRyan Borucki15-day IL
  • PCarmen Mlodzinski15-day IL
ENE 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)49°51°53°54°
Humidity62%58%55%51%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindENE 4 mphNE 5 mphNE 4 mphNE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-125-136-148-136-139-138-136-131.6
Pirates+115+126+124+125+129+127+129+131.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-118-137-138-138-138-138-137-131.6
Pirates+108+127+126+123+127+128+128+131.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -118 to -125
Pirates ML moved from +108 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 10.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -130 to -138
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+145-1½+127-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+133
Pirates+1½-165+1½-143+1½-145+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-143+1½-133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+145-1½+125-1½+128-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128-1½+133
Pirates+1½-165+1½-145+1½-146+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o6½-118o6½-120o6½-115o6½-120o6½-115o6½-115o6½-104
Underu7½-115u6½+102u6½+100u6½-105u6½+100u6½-105u6½+102u6½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o6½-120o6½-120o7+105o7+105o6½-120o6½-120o6½-104
Underu7½-115u6½+100u6½+100u7-125u7-125u6½+100u7-125u6½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-103 to o7-113
The Under moved from u7-103 to u6½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-125
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