Guardians at Royals

Updated
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8
43.5%56.5%
Guardians WinRoyals Win
3.78Projected Runs 4.47
2Final Score 6
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.0
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.5
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Logan Allen (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
168-35.721.551

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1710-22.291.045

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 7-2 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Tanner Bibee • KCR: Cole Ragans-108
L 3-10 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Alec Marsh+101
L 1-2 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Ben Lively • KCR: Michael Wacha-107
L 2-4 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Carlos Carrasco • BAL: Grayson Rodriguez+205
W 10-8 at Baltimore OriolesCLE: Logan Allen • BAL: Cole Irvin+144
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 7-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Tanner Bibee • KCR: Cole Ragans+107
W 3-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Alec Marsh-103
W 1-2 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Ben Lively • KCR: Michael Wacha+103
W 1-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Valente Bellozo • KCR: Brady Singer-188
L 2-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Yonny Chirinos • KCR: Seth Lugo-182

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFWill Brennan10-day IL
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
  • PNick Sandlin15-day IL

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 2BAdam Frazier10-day IL
  • PDan Altavilla15-day IL
ENE 8 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)78°80°81°81°
Humidity54%52%51%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindENE 8 mphENE 8 mphENE 8 mphENE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+115+114+109+114+116+117+117+121.4
Royals-125-124-131-124-126-127-124-121.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+115+113+115+110+116+113+116+121.4
Royals-125-123-125-125-126-123-123-121.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Royals ML moved from -130 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +114 to +108
No Steam Moves On Royals ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-215+1½-178+1½-185+1½-173+1½-180+1½-173+1½-173+1½-160
Royals-1½+185-1½+157-1½+160-1½+153-1½+160-1½+153-1½+160-1½+160
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-180+1½-175+1½-185+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-160
Royals-1½+160-1½+155-1½+163-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+163-1½+160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-108o8½-110o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-108u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-108u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½+104
Underu8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110