Guardians at Red Sox

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
50.3%49.7%
Guardians WinRed Sox Win
4.22Projected Runs 4.19
2Final Score 4
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank19
R/G4.6
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
177-63.110.981

Kutter Crawford (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-34.51.31

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 7-6 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+121
W 8-3 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Bryan Shaw • BOS: Josh Winckowski+125
L 1-3 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • BOS: Nick Pivetta-103
L 3-6 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Shane Bieber • CHW: Dylan Cease+142
L 4-5 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Konnor Pilkington • CHW: Lance Lynn+157
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 7-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-128
L 8-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Bryan Shaw • BOS: Josh Winckowski-130
W 1-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • BOS: Nick Pivetta-104
L 8-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Ross Stripling • BOS: Brayan Bello+154
L 4-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • BOS: Kutter Crawford+165

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown
  • 1BOwen MillerRest
  • CAustin HedgesRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PRich HillUnknown
  • 3BRafael Devers10-day IL
  • PTyler DanishUnknown
  • PMatt StrahmUnknown
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • 2BTrevor Story10-day IL
  • PChris SaleUnknown
  • CFEnrique Hernandez60-day IL
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
ESE 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°80°77°76°
Humidity73%78%85%86%
Precipitation8%4%10%20%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 9 mphESE 8 mphS 8 mphSW 9 mph
Scott Barry
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-110-134-133-133-130-131-133-115-124.3
Red Sox+100+124+111+123+120+121+123+124+124.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-115-124-126-130-133-132-124-124.3
Red Sox+105+114+115+115+123+122+123+124.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 80.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -128 to -134
Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -125 to -132
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+145-1½+132-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+130-1½+130-1½+140-1½+138
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-160+1½-150+1½-150+1½-148+1½-138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+145-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+138
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-150+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-103o9-125o9-122o9-115o9-119o9-122o9-115o9-109
Underu9-105u9½-113u9+105u9+102u9-105u9-101u9+102u9½-113u9+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-120o9-125o9-115o9-115o9-120o9-115o9-109
Underu9+100u9+100u9+105u9-105u9-105u9+100u9+105u9+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+107 to o9½-103
The Under moved from u9+108 to u9-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-125
No Steam Moves On Under