Guardians at Nationals

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(92-69)
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
64.7%35.3%
Guardians WinNationals Win
4.62Projected Runs 3.08
4Final Score 3

Washington Nationals

(71-91)
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank11
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-16.521.862

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-14.351.161

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • CLE: Peyton Battenfield+100
L 11-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • CLE: Hunter Gaddis+164
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Domingo German • CLE: Shane Bieber-157
W 6-7 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • CLE: Zach Plesac+123
L 3-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Marco Gonzales • CLE: Cal Quantrill-128
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 2-3 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • LAA: Griffin Canning+160
L 0-2 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Josiah Gray • LAA: Shohei Ohtani+263
W 6-4 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Patrick Corbin • LAA: Jose Suarez+245
L 6-7 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Chad Kuhl • COL: Ryan Feltner+130
W 7-6 at Colorado RockiesWSN: Trevor Williams • COL: Austin Gomber+135

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PTriston McKenzie60-day IL
  • PCody Morris60-day IL
  • PSam HentgesUnknown
  • PAaron CivaleUnknown

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen Strasburg60-day IL
  • 3BCarter Kieboom10-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli60-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PVictor Arano60-day IL
  • CIsrael Pineda10-day IL
  • PTanner Rainey60-day IL
  • 2BIldemaro Vargas10-day IL
S 10 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°72°71°69°
Humidity63%69%72%75%
Precipitation30%30%0%0%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsCloudyMostly Cloudy
WindS 10 mphS 8 mphS 7 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-135-151-158-155-153-155-151-147.7
Nationals+125+141+132+143+143+143+143+147.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-132-152-160-170-156-158-152-147.7
Nationals+122+142+146+143+143+143+146+147.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -132 to -150
Nationals ML moved from +130 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -155 to -170
Nationals ML moved from +135 to +126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+120-1½+107-1½+100-1½+102-1½+105-1½+102-1½+107-1½+111
Nationals+1½-140+1½-123+1½-120+1½-122+1½-125+1½-122+1½-120+1½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+135-1½+105-1½+100-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+111
Nationals+1½-155+1½-125+1½-118+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-118+1½-111

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o9-118o9½+100o9-115o9½+100o9-115o9-115o9-104
Underu8½-105u9+102u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9-105u9½-120u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9½+100o9½-105o9½+100o9½-110o9½+100o9½+100o9-104
Underu9-115u9½-120u9½-115u9½-120u9½-110u9½-120u9½-110u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-118 to u9-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under
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