Royals at Reds

Updated
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
48.0%52.0%
Royals WinReds Win
4.41Projected Runs 4.62
7Final Score 1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Michael Lorenzen (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
205-63.791.299

Nick Martinez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
76-53.161.033

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
W 4-1 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Cole Ragans • MIN: Louie Varland-105
L 3-13 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Seth Lugo • MIN: Zebby Matthews+113
L 3-8 at Minnesota TwinsKCR: Brady Singer • MIN: Pablo Lopez+148
W 3-8 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • KCR: Michael Wacha-116
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • KCR: Michael Lorenzen-108
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 2-9 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kyle Gibson • CIN: Emilio Pagan+100
W 1-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • CIN: Hunter Greene-127
W 1-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • CIN: Andrew Abbott+132
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIL: DL Hall+115
L 0-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Nick Martinez • MIL: Tobias Myers+133

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PJohn Schreiber15-day IL
  • -Hunter Harvey15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PBrent Suter15-day IL
  • PGraham Ashcraft60-day IL
  • CAustin Wynns10-day IL
WSW 8 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°78°76°
Humidity72%78%82%86%
Precipitation22%20%15%16%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindWSW 8 mphWSW 6 mphSW 5 mphSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+115+122+117+125+123+125+125+129.7
Reds-125-132-140-136-133-136-132-129.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+125+123+124+118+120+125+125+129.7
Reds-135-133-135-133-130-135-130-129.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +125 to +113
Reds ML moved from -132 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +125 to +118
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-170+1½-163+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-163+1½-153
Reds-1½+150-1½+147-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+147-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-153
Reds-1½+150-1½+145-1½+146-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o10-103o10-105o10-105o9½-125o10-105o10-103o10+104
Underu9½-120u10-113u10-115u10-115u9½+105u10-115u9½+105u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-115o9½-120o9½-125o9½-120o9½-115o9½-120o9½-115o10+104
Underu9½-105u9½+100u9½+105u9½+100u9½-105u9½+100u9½+105u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-116 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u10-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-120
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110