Twins at Braves

Updated
Rank24
R/G3.8
RA/G3.8
40.9%59.1%
Twins WinBraves Win
3.37Projected Runs 4.32
4Final Score 6
Rank12
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3
Rank24
R/G3.8
RA/G3.8
Rank12
R/G4.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Chris Paddack (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-29.491.865

Bryce Elder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-17.21.4

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Huascar Brazoban • MIN: David Festa-112
W 3-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Tylor Megill • MIN: Bailey Ober+102
L 5-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Clay Holmes • MIN: Joe Ryan-110
W 1-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • MIN: Simeon Woods Richardson+101
L 4-0 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jackson Jobe • MIN: Chris Paddack-155
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 1-3 at Toronto Blue JaysATL: Spencer Strider • TOR: Chris Bassitt-124
L 3-6 at Toronto Blue JaysATL: Spencer Schwellenbach • TOR: Kevin Gausman-112
W 8-4 at Toronto Blue JaysATL: Grant Holmes • TOR: Easton Lucas-113
L 3-8 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Chris Sale • TBR: Joe Boyle-160
W 5-4 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: AJ Smith-Shawver • TBR: Drew Rasmussen+124

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • SSCarlos CorreaIn Lineup
  • LFWilli CastroRest

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PReynaldo Lopez60-day IL
  • LFJurickson ProfarOut
  • DHMarcell OzunaIn Lineup
S 9 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°76°73°71°
Humidity48%53%59%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 9 mphS 7 mphSSE 5 mphSSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+133+132+129+136+140+136+140+141.6
Braves-147-142-154-150-150-150-142-141.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+115+125+130+128+134+131+134+141.6
Braves-125-140-145-143-150-142-140-141.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +121 to +114
Braves ML moved from -144 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Braves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +123 to +116
Braves ML moved from -134 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-170+1½-158+1½-165+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
Braves-1½+150-1½+142-1½+140-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+142-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-170+1½-165+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160+1½-143
Braves-1½+150-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½+102o8-115o8-117o8-115o8-117o8½+102o8-106
Underu9-115u8½-118u8-105u8-103u8-105u8-103u8½-118u8+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8-115o8-110o8½+100o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-106
Underu8½-115u8-105u8-110u8½-120u8-110u8-110u8½-120u8+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-110