Nationals at Mets

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
23.6%76.4%
Nationals WinMets Win
2.70Projected Runs 5.49
7Final Score 1
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.7
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
265-176.561.762

Max Scherzer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
199-42.270.929

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-7 at New York MetsWSN: Josiah Gray • NYM: David Peterson+233
W 5-7 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ken Waldichuk • WSN: Paolo Espino-109
W 1-5 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: James Kaprielian • WSN: Anibal Sanchez-101
L 10-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Cole Irvin • WSN: Erick Fedde-105
W 2-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • WSN: Patrick Corbin+104
New York Mets
Money Line
W 3-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • NYM: David Peterson-251
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Clayton Kershaw • NYM: Chris Bassitt+130
W 1-2 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tyler Anderson • NYM: Jacob deGrom-154
L 4-3 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Andrew Heaney • NYM: Taijuan Walker+127
L 1-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • NYM: Max Scherzer-320

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • DHNelson CruzRest
  • LFYadiel Hernandez10-day IL
  • PCade CavalliUnknown
  • CFVictor RoblesRest
  • 3BMaikel FrancoRest

New York Mets

Status
  • PTrevor MayUnknown
  • 2BLuis Guillorme10-day IL
  • 3BBrett BatyOut
  • PCarlos CarrascoUnknown
SSE 9 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°73°73°74°
Humidity63%68%70%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSE 9 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 8 mphS 7 mph
Jeff Nelson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+355+324+300+324+286+324+324+325.1
Mets-400-384-400-366-366-366-366-325.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+340+330+326+320+335+320+335+325.1
Mets-410-400-370-420-420-380-370-325.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +315 to +300
Mets ML moved from -390 to -400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Mets: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +330 to +320
Mets ML moved from -350 to -370

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+155+1½+147+1½+140+1½+150+1½+150+1½+150+1½+150+1½+143
Mets-1½-180-1½-163-1½-165-1½-170-1½-170-1½-170-1½-163-1½-143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½+155+1½+145+1½+145+1½+160+1½+155+1½+145+1½+155+1½+143
Mets-1½-175-1½-165-1½-164-1½-180-1½-175-1½-165-1½-164-1½-143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+105o7½+102o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+102o7½+114
Underu7½-125u7½-118u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½+105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+105o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7½-115u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125