Twins at Royals

Updated

Minnesota Twins

(82-80)
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
52.9%47.1%
Twins WinRoyals Win
4.97Projected Runs 4.66
6Final Score 11

Kansas City Royals

(86-76)
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.6
RA/G4.5
Rank15
R/G4.6
RA/G4.1

Pitching

John Gant (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
205-103.741.472

Jon Heasley (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-13.861.179

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 10-7 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • MIN: Joe Ryan-175
W 2-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Casey Mize • MIN: Michael Pineda-162
W 2-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Alexander • MIN: Charlie Barnes-140
L 5-2 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Alek Manoah • MIN: Griffin Jax+160
L 6-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Robbie Ray • MIN: John Gant+165
Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 6-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Angel Zerpa+140
W 5-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • KCR: Daniel Lynch+104
W 4-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • KCR: Brady Singer-117
L 3-8 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Jackson Kowar • CLE: Cal Quantrill+162
W 2-1 at Detroit TigersKCR: Kris Bubic • DET: Wily Peralta-105

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • CFRob Refsnyder10-day IL
  • CMitch GarverRest
  • PBailey Ober10-day IL
  • PRandy DobnakOut for Season
  • SSAndrelton SimmonsRest

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PWade Davis60-day IL
  • PDaniel Lynch10-day IL
  • PBrady Singer10-day IL
  • PMike Minor10-day IL
  • PBrad KellerOut for Season
SSW 4 mph
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)75°73°72°71°
Humidity83%87%92%94%
Precipitation0%5%0%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSW 4 mphSSW 4 mphSW 3 mphSW 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+105-114-110-110-110-110-110-107.8
Royals-115-106+100+100+100+100+100+107.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+100-108-114-112-108-110-108-107.8
Royals-110-102+104+102-102+100+104+107.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -105 to -111
Royals ML moved from +101 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Twins: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 10.0%
Royals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from -107 to -114
No Steam Moves On Royals ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+137-1½+140-1½+138-1½+140-1½+138-1½+138-1½+140-1½+146
Royals+1½-157+1½-165+1½-158+1½-160+1½-158+1½-158+1½-158+1½-146
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-185-1½+140-1½+133-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+140-1½+146
Royals-1½+165+1½-160+1½-152+1½-160+1½-160+1½-160+1½-152+1½-146

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½-110o9½-110o9½-105o9½-110o9½-110o9½-105o9½+102
Underu9½-120u9½-110u9½-110u9½-115u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½+102
Underu9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-110u9½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-112
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-110
No Steam Moves On Under
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