Padres at Pirates

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
64.8%35.2%
Padres WinPirates Win
4.77Projected Runs 3.23
5Final Score 2
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank23
R/G4.1
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-02.160.88

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-36.621.642

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 6-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Sean Manaea • PIT: JT Brubaker-154
W 7-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesSDP: Yu Darvish • PIT: Zach Thompson-168
W 7-5 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Nick Martinez • CIN: Tyler Mahle+100
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: MacKenzie Gore • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-157
W 9-6 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Joe Musgrove • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin-164
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 6-7 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Sean Manaea • PIT: JT Brubaker+145
L 7-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • PIT: Zach Thompson+164
L 3-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Jose Quintana+138
L 3-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • PIT: Dillon Peters+155
L 12-8 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Mitch Keller+165

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • PMike ClevingerOut
  • 1BLuke Voit10-day IL
  • RFWil Myers10-day IL
  • PAustin Adams60-day IL
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 2BMichael ChavisRest
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • CFCole TuckerOut
  • PDuane Underwood10-day IL
  • CFGreg Allen60-day IL
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
ENE 8 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)61°64°66°67°
Humidity88%83%80%79%
Precipitation43%39%20%20%
ConditionPossible Light RainPossible Light RainMostly CloudyOvercast
WindENE 8 mphENE 9 mphESE 9 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-165-178-174-165-174-174-165-165.5
Pirates+155+146+160+155+159+160+160+165.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-195-175-171-175-175-168-168-165.5
Pirates+175+160+155+160+160+158+160+165.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -165 to -185
Pirates ML moved from +160 to +154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -165 to -171
Pirates ML moved from +162 to +149

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-105-1½-110-1½-108-1½+100-1½-108-1½-108-1½+100-1½+104
Pirates+1½-115+1½-110+1½-112+1½-120+1½-112+1½-112+1½-110+1½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-105-1½-110-1½-106-1½-110-1½-115-1½-105-1½-105-1½+104
Pirates+1½-115+1½-110+1½-112+1½-110+1½-105+1½-115+1½-105+1½-104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½-105o7½+104
Underu7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+105 to o7½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-125 to o7½-105
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120