Padres at Mets

Updated
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
49.7%50.3%
Padres WinMets Win
4.72Projected Runs 4.74
5Final Score 8
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7
Rank2
R/G4.9
RA/G4.3
Rank8
R/G5.1
RA/G4.7

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
168-22.420.971

Carlos Carrasco (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
1810-44.271.333

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 2-1 at New York MetsSDP: Blake Snell • NYM: Chris Bassitt+139
W 4-1 at New York MetsSDP: Yu Darvish • NYM: Max Scherzer+164
L 3-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • SDP: Mike Clevinger-150
W 3-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tyler Gilbert • SDP: Sean Manaea-180
W 3-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • SDP: Yu Darvish-185
New York Mets
Money Line
L 2-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • NYM: Chris Bassitt-142
L 4-1 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Yu Darvish • NYM: Max Scherzer-175
L 2-3 at Chicago CubsNYM: David Peterson • CHC: Adrian Sampson-137
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsNYM: Max Scherzer • CHC: Drew Smyly-235
W 2-1 at Chicago CubsNYM: Taijuan Walker • CHC: Marcus Stroman-125

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PCraig StammenUnknown

New York Mets

Status
  • LFDominic Smith10-day IL
  • CJames McCann10-day IL
  • PTylor Megill60-day IL
SSW 12 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
UnknownVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)90°88°87°87°
Humidity52%58%60%63%
Precipitation0%2%2%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindSSW 12 mphSSW 11 mphSSW 10 mphSSW 9 mph
D.J. Reyburn
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+110+111+121+120+121+121+121+128.3
Mets-120-133-131-130-131-131-130-128.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+104+130+121+122+123+124+130+128.3
Mets-114-140-132-145-133-134-132-128.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +102 to -105
Mets ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Padres: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 60.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Padres ML
Mets ML moved from -130 to -140

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-185+1½-185+1½-176+1½-185+1½-176+1½-176+1½-176+1½-166
Mets-1½+160-1½+160-1½+156-1½+160-1½+156-1½+156-1½+160-1½+166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-190+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175+1½-180+1½-175+1½-166
Mets-1½+170-1½+160-1½+163-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+163-1½+166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o8+100o8-104o8-105o8-104o8-104o8+100o8+104
Underu7½-115u8-120u8-116u8-115u8-116u8-116u8-115u8-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8+100o8-110o8+100o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+104
Underu8-115u8-120u8-110u8-120u8-115u8-115u8-110u8-104

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o8-105
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125