Braves at Mets

Updated

Atlanta Braves

(89-73)
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
54.0%46.0%
Braves WinMets Win
4.64Projected Runs 4.21
3Final Score 4

New York Mets

(89-73)
Rank7
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank5
R/G4.4
RA/G3.8
Rank7
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Bryce Elder (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-15.281.761

Luis Severino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-22.931.175

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 4-1 at New York MetsATL: Max Fried • NYM: Christian Scott-150
W 4-2 at New York MetsATL: Charlie Morton • NYM: José Quintana-140
W 0-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • ATL: Chris Sale-200
W 2-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • ATL: Reynaldo López-175
L 1-5 at Los Angeles DodgersATL: Max Fried • LAD: James Paxton-146
New York Mets
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Max Fried • NYM: Christian Scott+144
L 4-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • NYM: José Quintana+133
W 7-5 at St. Louis CardinalsNYM: José Buttó • STL: Miles Mikolas+112
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsNYM: Sean Manaea • STL: Kyle Gibson+121
L 6-7 at Tampa Bay RaysNYM: Luis Severino • TBR: Ryan Pepiot+102

Injuries

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PTyler Matzek15-day IL
  • PPierce Johnson15-day IL
  • PSpencer StriderOut for Season

New York Mets

Status
  • PDrew Smith15-day IL
  • CFrancisco Alvarez10-day IL
  • PBrooks Raley15-day IL
  • LFBrandon NimmoQuestionable
SSW 6 mph
Citi Field, Queens, NY
WindO/U Effect
UnknownModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)55°53°51°50°
Humidity66%70%74%77%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearClear
WindSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 5 mphSSW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-115-105-106-104-101-104-101+100.9
Mets+105-105-114-106-109-106-105-100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-118+100-103-106-105-103+100+100.9
Mets+108-110-107-109-105-107-105-100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Braves ML
Mets ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braves: 20.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Braves: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braves: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braves ML moved from +100 to -105
Mets ML moved from +103 to -106

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+135-1½+158+1½-230-1½+152-1½+155-1½+152-1½+159
Mets+1½-155+1½-179-1½+190+1½-172+1½-175+1½-172+1½-159
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braves-1½+130-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+159
Mets+1½-150+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-159

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-107o8-110o8-113o8-105o8-113o8-105o8-103
Underu8-120u8-109u8-110u8-107u8-115u8-107u8-107u8+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-105o8-105o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+100o8-103
Underu8-120u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-115u8+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-106 to o8-113
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125
Athletics at Mariners
Blue Jays at Orioles