Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank26
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
41.8%58.2%
Pirates WinReds Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.49
3Final Score 5
Rank16
R/G5.2
RA/G4.1
Rank26
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank16
R/G5.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Bailey Falter (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-18.11.5

Brady Singer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-02.251.083

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller+102
L 5-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Sonny Gray • PIT: Paul Skenes-140
W 4-8 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Matthew Liberatore • PIT: Carmen Mlodzinski+101
W 4-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • PIT: Andrew Heaney+150
L 10-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Marcus Stroman • PIT: Bailey Falter+145
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 6-8 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Nick Martinez • SFG: Justin Verlander+131
W 1-0 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Nick Lodolo • SFG: Landen Roupp+120
W 2-0 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Hunter Greene • SFG: Logan Webb+155
L 2-8 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Carson Spiers • MIL: Chad Patrick+132
W 11-7 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Brady Singer • MIL: Elvin Rodriguez+113

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJared Jones15-day IL
  • 2BSpencer Horwitz10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PAndrew Abbott15-day IL
  • LFAustin Hays10-day IL
N 10 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
WindO/U Effect
To RightHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)49°47°45°43°
Humidity53%54%57%61%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindN 10 mphN 9 mphN 9 mphN 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+131+150+141+146+152+146+152+151.7
Reds-145-162-170-161-162-161-161-151.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+134+145+152+145+146+153+153+151.7
Reds-150-160-170-160-164-168-160-151.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +140 to +130
Reds ML moved from -152 to -159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +142 to +134
Reds ML moved from -157 to -168

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-138+1½-140+1½-141+1½-145+1½-141+1½-138+1½-129
Reds-1½+145-1½+122-1½+120-1½+121-1½+125-1½+121-1½+125-1½+129
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-160+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-135+1½-129
Reds-1½+140-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+129

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-113-o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+100
Underu8½-105u8-103-u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-103u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-115o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100o8-120o8-115o8+100
Underu8-105u8-105u8½-115u8½-115u8½-120u8+100u8½-115u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105