Chicago at Nashville

Updated

Chicago Fire

(7-18-9)
29.5%27.9%42.6%
Chicago WinDrawNashville Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 1

Nashville SC

(9-16-9)

Last 5 Games

Chicago Fire
Money Line
W 1-2 vs New York Red Bulls+177
L 2-1 vs D.C. United+125
L 4-1 vs Inter Miami CF+155
T 2-2 at New York City+500
L 1-2 at Inter Miami CF+295
Nashville SC
Money Line
W 2-0 at Atlanta United+365
L 0-3 at Orlando City+510
L 2-0 vs Austin FC+130
L 0-3 at Philadelphia Union+435
L 3-0 vs Orlando City+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chicago+190-+330+365+350+365+365+382.9
Nashville+130--130-135-133-131-130-120.3
Draw+270-+300+300+303+290+303+305.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chicago+275-+335+270+255+325+335+382.9
Nashville-105--135-135-130-130-130-120.3
Draw+270-+302+260+255+300+302+305.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chicago: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nashville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chicago: 40.0%
Nashville: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chicago: 10.0%
Nashville: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chicago ML
No Steam Moves On Nashville ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chicago: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nashville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chicago: 40.0%
Nashville: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chicago: 0.0%
Nashville: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chicago ML
No Steam Moves On Nashville ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102-o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-110o2¾-115o2¾-110o2¾-104
Underu3-118-u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-108u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2½+120u2½+110u2½+120u2½+120u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.79%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.89%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.75%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.53%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Chicago Fire
Exactly 035.78%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.90%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Nashville SC
Exactly 027.37%
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 222.98%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.10%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chicago Fire
Exactly 062.13%
Exactly 129.57%
Exactly 27.04%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nashville SC
Exactly 054.88%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 29.88%
Exactly 31.98%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chicago Fire
Wins by 2+ goals11.00%
Wins by 3+ goals3.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Nashville SC
Wins by 2+ goals19.36%
Wins by 3+ goals6.82%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chicago Fire
Wins by 1 goal18.43%
Wins by 2 goals7.88%
Wins by 3 goals2.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Nashville SC
Wins by 1 goal23.24%
Wins by 2 goals12.53%
Wins by 3 goals4.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.21%9.79%
1.567.46%32.54%
2.541.02%58.98%
3.520.55%79.45%
4.58.65%91.35%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Chicago Fire Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.22%35.78%
1.527.45%72.55%
2.58.55%91.45%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Nashville SC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.63%27.37%
1.537.17%62.83%
2.514.19%85.81%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.90%34.10%
1.529.21%70.79%
2.59.48%90.52%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chicago
Nashville SC
Score012345
0
9.79%
12.69%
8.22%
3.55%
1.15%
0.30%
1
10.06%
13.04%
8.45%
3.65%
1.18%
0.31%
2
5.17%
6.70%
4.34%
1.88%
0.61%
0.16%
3
1.77%
2.30%
1.49%
0.64%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.46%
0.59%
0.38%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Chicago Fire
1-010.06%
2-05.17%
2-16.70%
3-01.77%
3-12.30%
3-21.49%
4-00.46%
4-10.59%
4-20.38%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.79%
1-113.04%
2-24.34%
3-30.64%
Nashville SC
0-112.69%
0-28.22%
1-28.45%
0-33.55%
1-33.65%
2-31.88%
0-41.15%
1-41.18%
2-40.61%
3-40.21%
0-50.30%
1-50.31%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Chicago
Nashville SC
Score01234
0
34.10%
20.46%
6.14%
1.23%
0.18%
1
16.23%
9.74%
2.92%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.86%
2.32%
0.69%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.61%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Chicago Fire
1-016.23%
2-03.86%
2-12.32%
3-00.61%
3-10.37%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.10%
1-19.74%
2-20.69%
Nashville SC
0-120.46%
0-26.14%
1-22.92%
0-31.23%
1-30.58%
2-30.14%
0-40.18%