NBA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 1, 2025

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Knicks (51-31)
Detroit Pistons (44-38)
51.2%
48.8%
+115
-130
+115
-130
+2½-108
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-108
111.3
110.7
222.0
o213-105
u213-108
o213-110
u213-110
Denver Nuggets (50-32)
Los Angeles Clippers (50-32)
38.2%
61.8%
+230
-280
+250
-280
+7-108
-7-105
+7-108
-6½-110
109.9
113.6
223.5
o212-105
u212½-108
o212-110
u212½-110

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Clippers
Denver Nuggets
42.2%
57.8%
-130
+120
-130
+120
-1½-110
+2-105
-2-108
+2-105
115
131
-0.80802-0.80802-0.54733
Orlando Magic
Boston Celtics
22.9%
77.1%
+550
-665
+525
-630
+11½-110
-11-108
+11½-110
-11-105
89
120
-0.16295-0.17008-0.25991
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks
29.2%
70.8%
+190
-220
+200
-215
+5½-108
-5-115
+5½-108
-5½-105
106
103
-1.09652-1.11438-1.23080
Milwaukee Bucks
Indiana Pacers
27.8%
72.2%
+306
-385
+315
-340
+8½-110
-8-108
+8-108
-7½-105
118
119
-0.27025-0.27143-0.32583
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
37.5%
62.5%
+145
-157
+155
-165
+3+100
-3½-107
+4-108
-3½-115
106
109
-0.51171-0.48848-0.47060
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
73.1%
26.9%
-340
+275
-335
+310
-8-108
+8-104
-8-110
+8½-108
138
83
-0.29647-0.27513-0.31310
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
42.6%
57.4%
+155
-170
+165
-170
+4-108
-4-108
+4-105
-3½-110
129
103
-0.95763-0.98152-0.85339
Boston Celtics
Orlando Magic
61.4%
38.6%
-340
+295
-340
+315
-7½-108
+8-110
-7½-105
+8-110
107
98
-0.28338-0.27143-0.48760
Los Angeles Lakers
Minnesota Timberwolves
40.2%
59.8%
+125
-135
+125
-135
+2½-105
-2-108
+2½-108
-2½-108
113
116
-0.57304-0.57304-0.51440
New York Knicks
Detroit Pistons
51.9%
48.1%
+135
-145
+130
-140
+3-110
-2½-108
+3-110
-2½-108
94
93
-0.87165-0.85085-0.65641
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
44.1%
55.9%
+120
-115
+120
-120
+2-108
-1½-110
+2½-110
-2-105
93
104
-0.61509-0.60614-0.58089
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Clippers
35.2%
64.8%
+222
-245
+235
-260
+7-110
-6½-105
+7-110
-6½-108
101
99
-1.18987-1.22946-1.04330
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
71.0%
29.0%
-1090
+790
-1200
+800
-14½-115
+15-108
-15-108
+15½-110
117
115
-0.11570-0.11366-0.34190
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
68.2%
31.8%
-195
+175
-200
+175
-5-107
+5-105
-4½-110
+5-108
124
87
-0.43833-0.43532-0.38262
Los Angeles Lakers
Minnesota Timberwolves
40.1%
59.9%
+155
-170
+150
-165
+4-105
-4-108
+4-108
-3½-110
104
116
-0.48418-0.49617-0.51263
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks
45.6%
54.4%
+180
-200
+185
-200
+4½-105
-4-115
+5-110
-4½-108
101
117
-0.42898-0.42286-0.60916
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.58444 
Sportsbooks42-2 (0.500)0-0.59098 
DRatings43-1 (0.750)0-0.59097
-0.00653
0.00001

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the NBA games that we provide above are at “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score of the game.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.