SMU at Louisville

Updated
Rank16
P/G40.8
PA/G22.3
33.8%66.2%
SMU WinLouisville Win
27.3Projected Points 31.7
34Final Score 27
Rank25
P/G38.6
PA/G19.6
Rank16
P/G40.8
PA/G22.3
Rank25
P/G38.6
PA/G19.6

Last 5 Games

SMU Mustangs
Money Line
W 16-42 vs Florida State Seminoles-210
W 42-66 vs TCU Horned Frogs+105
L 18-15 vs BYU Cougars-500
W 7-59 vs Houston Christian Huskies
W 29-24 at Nevada Wolf Pack-3500
Louisville Cardinals
Money Line
L 24-31 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish+200
W 19-31 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets-320
W 14-49 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks-6000
W 0-62 vs Austin Peay Governors
L 28-42 vs USC Trojans-200

Injuries

SMU Mustangs

Status
  • DTAnthony Booker Jr.Probable
  • RBJaylan KnightonOut for Season
  • RBL.J. Johnson Jr.Probable
  • WRRomello BrinsonOut

Louisville Cardinals

Status
  • WRJadon ThompsonOut for Season
  • RBMaurice TurnerOut
  • DBDevin NealUnknown
  • DLDezmond TellQuestionable
  • CBQuincy RileyQuestionable
ESE 4 mph
Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)74°77°79°81°
Humidity63%58%55%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindESE 4 mphSE 4 mphSE 3 mphSE 3 mph

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SMU+210+205+210+210+220+210+220+221.4
Louisville-250-245-250-250-260-250-245-221.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SMU+210+220+220+210+220+210+220+221.4
Louisville-250-260-260-260-260-250-250-221.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SMU+7-110+6½-108+7-115+6½-108+7-115+6½-108+7-115+6½+102
Louisville-7-110-6½-108-7-105-6½-112-7-105-6½-112-6½-108-6½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SMU+8-110+7-110+7-120+7-120+7-110+6½-109+7-110+6½+102
Louisville-8-110-7-110-7+100-7+100-7-110-6½-109-6½-109-6½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SMU: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SMU: 20.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SMU: 40.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SMU Spread moved from +6½-105 to +6½-113
Louisville Spread moved from -6½-115 to -7-115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
SMU: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Louisville: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SMU: 20.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SMU: 70.0%
Louisville: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SMU Spread moved from +7-109 to +6½-109
Louisville Spread moved from -6½-110 to -7-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo57-110o55-108o55½-105o54½-110o55-110o54½-110o54½-110o54½+100
Underu57-110u55-108u55½-115u54½-110u55-110u54½-110u55½-115u54½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo58-110o55-110o55-110o55½-110o56-110o55-110o55-110o54½+100
Underu58-110u55-110u55-110u55½-110u56-110u55-110u56-110u54½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55-110 to o55-115
The Under moved from u55-105 to u54½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o55-110 to o56-110
The Under moved from u56-110 to u55½-110