Penn St at Michigan St

Updated

Penn State Nittany Lions

(12-2)
Rank5
P/G33.9
PA/G15.9
52.0%48.0%
Penn St WinMichigan St Win
26.5Projected Points 25.7
27Final Score 30

Michigan State Spartans

(5-7)
Rank70
P/G19.3
PA/G26.1
Rank5
P/G33.9
PA/G15.9
Rank70
P/G19.3
PA/G26.1

Last 5 Games

Penn State Nittany Lions
Money Line
W 0-28 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights-600
L 21-17 vs Michigan Wolverines+125
W 31-14 at Maryland Terrapins-380
L 24-33 at Ohio State Buckeyes+770
L 20-18 vs Illinois Fighting Illini-2500
Michigan State Spartans
Money Line
L 7-56 at Ohio State Buckeyes+795
W 21-40 vs Maryland Terrapins-445
L 29-40 at Purdue Boilermakers-135
W 33-37 vs Michigan Wolverines+175
W 20-15 at Indiana Hoosiers-160

Injuries

Penn State Nittany Lions

Status
  • SJonathan SutherlandQuestionable
  • LBJesse LuketaQuestionable
  • DEHakeem BeamonQuestionable
  • QBSean CliffordProbable

Michigan State Spartans

Status
  • WRRicky WhiteQuestionable
  • TJarrett HorstOut
  • DEParks GissingerQuestionable
  • WRJayden ReedProbable
  • RBElijah CollinsQuestionable
  • KMatt CoghlinQuestionable
  • LBQuavaris CrouchOut
  • RBKenneth Walker IIIProbable
  • WRJalen NailorDoubtful
  • DEAdam BerghorstQuestionable
  • LBItayvion BrownQuestionable
  • DEJack CamperQuestionable
  • LBCarson CasteelQuestionable
  • GMatt CarrickQuestionable
  • CBKhary CrumpQuestionable
  • WRIan StewartQuestionable
  • TETyler HuntOut
SSE 9 mph
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)30°30°29°29°
Humidity78%77%78%77%
Precipitation12%9%12%14%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSSE 9 mphSE 9 mphSE 8 mphSE 7 mph

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penn St-110-170-170-173-170-170-170-158.7
Michigan St-110+145+150+153+150+150+153+158.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penn St-110-200-185-180-190-200-180-158.7
Michigan St-110+175+160+160+170+175+175+158.7

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penn St+0-110-3½-110-3½-110-3½-110-3½-109-3½-110-3½-109-3½-102
Michigan St+0-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-110+3½-109+3½-110+3½-109+3½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Penn St-1-110-4½-110-4-110-4½-110-4½-110-5-110-4-110-3½-102
Michigan St+1-110+4½-110+4-110+4½-110+4½-110+5-110+5-110+3½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penn St: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Michigan St: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penn St: 0.0%
Michigan St: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Penn St: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penn St: 0.0%
Michigan St: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Penn St Spread moved from -3½+100 to -3½-110
Michigan St Spread moved from +5½-110 to +4½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Penn St: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Michigan St: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Penn St: 0.0%
Michigan St: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Penn St: 60.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Penn St: 0.0%
Michigan St: 30.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Penn St Spread moved from -5-110 to -5½-110
Michigan St Spread moved from +5-110 to +4½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51½-110o51-110o51-115o51½-110o51-114o51-115o51-110o51½+100
Underu51½-110u51-110u51-105u51½-110u51-104u51-105u51½-110u51½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-110o52-110o51½-110o52-110o51½-110o51-110o51-110o51½+100
Underu53½-110u52-110u51½-110u52-110u51½-110u51-110u52-110u51½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51-110 to o51-115
The Under moved from u51½-110 to u51-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51-110 to o51½-110
The Under moved from u52-110 to u51-110
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