Twente at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Twente

57.5%22.0%20.5%
Twente WinDrawFortuna Sittard Win
1.92Projected Goals 1.06
3Final Score 0

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Heerenveen-170
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+450
L 0-2 at Go Ahead Eagles+115
W 0-3 vs Volendam-410
T 1-1 at Groningen-170
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 2-1 at Utrecht+430
L 4-2 vs Feyenoord+625
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk+220
W 1-0 at Emmen+225
T 0-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+110-117-120-114-118-120-117-108.1
Fortuna Sittard+246+327+320+300+352+320+352+341.1
Draw+263+276+255+275+273+275+276+293.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+100-----115-115-108.1
Fortuna Sittard+255----+300+300+341.1
Draw+270----+275+275+293.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 10.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from -114 to -120
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +340 to +334

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Fortuna Sittard ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-111o2½-105o2½-115o2½-103o2½-115o2½-103o2½-104
Underu2½+104u2½-105u2½-115u2½-105u2½-112u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2¾-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.8%
 
No44.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.07%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 416.70%
Exactly 64.95%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.12%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.96%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 014.62%
Exactly 128.11%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.32%
Exactly 48.33%
Exactly 53.20%
Exactly 61.03%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 034.70%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.15%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.03%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 041.05%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.27%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 061.26%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals33.75%
Wins by 3+ goals16.16%
Wins by 4+ goals6.39%
Wins by 5+ goals2.10%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals7.37%
Wins by 3+ goals2.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.68%
Wins by 2 goals17.60%
Wins by 3 goals9.77%
Wins by 4 goals4.29%
Wins by 5 goals1.54%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal13.03%
Wins by 2 goals5.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.93%5.07%
1.579.81%20.19%
2.557.27%42.73%
3.534.86%65.14%
4.518.16%81.84%
5.58.21%91.79%
6.53.26%96.74%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.38%14.62%
1.557.28%42.72%
2.530.25%69.75%
3.512.93%87.07%
4.54.60%95.40%
5.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.30%34.70%
1.528.57%71.43%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.85%25.15%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
5.07%
5.37%
2.84%
1.00%
0.27%
1
9.75%
10.32%
5.46%
1.93%
0.51%
2
9.38%
9.93%
5.25%
1.85%
0.49%
3
6.01%
6.36%
3.37%
1.19%
0.31%
4
2.89%
3.06%
1.62%
0.57%
0.15%
5
1.11%
1.18%
0.62%
0.22%
0.06%
Twente
1-09.75%
2-09.38%
2-19.93%
3-06.01%
3-16.36%
3-23.37%
4-02.89%
4-13.06%
4-21.62%
4-30.57%
5-01.11%
5-11.18%
5-20.62%
5-30.22%
Draw
0-05.07%
1-110.32%
2-25.25%
3-31.19%
4-40.15%
Fortuna Sittard
0-15.37%
0-22.84%
1-25.46%
0-31.00%
1-31.93%
2-31.85%
0-40.27%
1-40.51%
2-40.49%
3-40.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
25.15%
12.32%
3.02%
0.49%
1
22.39%
10.97%
2.69%
0.44%
2
9.97%
4.88%
1.20%
0.20%
3
2.96%
1.45%
0.36%
0.06%
4
0.66%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Twente
1-022.39%
2-09.97%
2-14.88%
3-02.96%
3-11.45%
3-20.36%
4-00.66%
4-10.32%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-025.15%
1-110.97%
2-21.20%
Fortuna Sittard
0-112.32%
0-23.02%
1-22.69%
0-30.49%
1-30.44%
2-30.20%