Willem II at Twente

Updated

Willem II

30.8%24.2%45.0%
Willem II WinDrawTwente Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.67
1Final Score 1

Twente

Last 1 Game

Willem II
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam+375
Twente
Money Line
T 2-2 at Heracles Almelo+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+321+307+285+275+282+275+307-
Twente-131-120-115-109-117-109-109-
Draw+292+288+275+265+286+265+288-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Willem II+360----+375+375-
Twente-140-----145-145-
Draw+300----+300+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 50.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 0.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Willem II ML moved from +295 to +285
Twente ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Willem II: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Willem II: 60.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Willem II: 80.0%
Twente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Willem II ML
No Steam Moves On Twente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2¾-125o3+105o2¾-122-o2¾-122o3+105-
Underu2½+110u2¾+103u3-125u2¾+102-u2¾+102u3-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%
 
No44.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.95%
Exactly 223.69%
Exactly 415.71%
Exactly 64.17%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.80%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.87%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 031.76%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 018.75%
Exactly 131.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 314.66%
Exactly 46.13%
Exactly 52.05%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.09%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 310.06%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 058.80%
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 28.29%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 046.07%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.84%
Exactly 33.57%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals10.25%
Wins by 3+ goals3.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.77%
Twente
Wins by 2+ goals26.50%
Wins by 3+ goals11.36%
Wins by 4+ goals3.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Willem II
Twente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal15.86%
Wins by 2 goals7.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.14%
Wins by 2 goals15.14%
Wins by 3 goals7.37%
Wins by 4 goals2.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.89%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.05%5.95%
1.577.25%22.75%
2.553.56%46.44%
3.531.28%68.72%
4.515.56%84.44%
5.56.70%93.30%
6.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.24%31.76%
1.531.82%68.18%
2.510.92%89.08%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.25%18.75%
1.549.86%50.14%
2.523.59%76.41%
3.58.93%91.07%
4.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.91%27.09%
1.537.54%62.46%
2.514.43%85.57%
3.54.37%95.63%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Willem II
Twente
Score012345
0
5.95%
9.97%
8.34%
4.66%
1.95%
0.65%
1
6.83%
11.43%
9.57%
5.34%
2.23%
0.75%
2
3.92%
6.56%
5.49%
3.06%
1.28%
0.43%
3
1.50%
2.51%
2.10%
1.17%
0.49%
0.16%
4
0.43%
0.72%
0.60%
0.34%
0.14%
0.05%
Willem II
1-06.83%
2-03.92%
2-16.56%
3-01.50%
3-12.51%
3-22.10%
4-00.43%
4-10.72%
4-20.60%
4-30.34%
Draw
0-05.95%
1-111.43%
2-25.49%
3-31.17%
4-40.14%
Twente
0-19.97%
0-28.34%
1-29.57%
0-34.66%
1-35.34%
2-33.06%
0-41.95%
1-42.23%
2-41.28%
3-40.49%
0-50.65%
1-50.75%
2-50.43%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Willem II
Twente
Score01234
0
27.09%
20.99%
8.14%
2.10%
0.41%
1
14.39%
11.15%
4.32%
1.12%
0.22%
2
3.82%
2.96%
1.15%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.68%
0.52%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Willem II
1-014.39%
2-03.82%
2-12.96%
3-00.68%
3-10.52%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-027.09%
1-111.15%
2-21.15%
Twente
0-120.99%
0-28.14%
1-24.32%
0-32.10%
1-31.12%
2-30.30%
0-40.41%
1-40.22%